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Cubs are Going OVER with Ease

A pair of heavyweights will collide on the diamond on Saturday when the defending World Series champion Chicago Cubs face-off with the Boston Red Sox in an interleague matchup at Fenway Park. Sportsbooks opened the Cubbies as -119 favorites with a total of 9.

Shark Bites
  • The Cubs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the Red Sox's last 8 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of the Red Sox's last 17 games at home.

John Lackey and Steven Wright will get the nod for the Cubs and Red Sox. Lackey (1-3, 4.88 ERA) pitched for the Red Sox from 2010-14 and this will be the first time he’s faced them as an opponent since 2008. He has a career 31-23 record and 4.45 ERA at Fenway.

Wright has lacked his All-Star form from last season and was knocked around for nine hits and four runs over 3 2/3 innings in a loss to the Orioles in his last outing. Wright will have a big edge against the young Cubs, however, as plenty of Chicago’s hitters have never faced a knuckleballer before.

The OVER is a red-hot wager when the Cubs take the field, evidenced by eight of Chicago’s last 10 tilts going above the closing total.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Baseball betting odds makers, including BetOnline, opened the Boston Red Sox as -101 moneyline underdogs in this matchup. Over under total bettors saw the number open at 9 at shops such as Bovada.

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 5.1-3.8 result in favor of the Cubs. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Boston (12-10) will face the 12-10 Cubs in this tilt. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Boston vs Chicago injuries news.

According to MLB Power Rankings here, it's the No. 16-ranked Boston Red Sox and the No. 3-rated Chicago Cubs in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

Scoring stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features the Boston Red Sox No. 25-ranked scoring average of 3.77 runs per game, against a Chicago Cubs offense rated No. 5 and scoring 5.14 runs per game. The Red Sox have averaged 9.18 hits per game to date this season, more than the Cubs hitters have managed (9.14 per nine innings).

Comparing defensive stats, Chicago owns the No. 14-rated road mark, allowing 4.23 runs per game on the highway. Boston, on the other hand, rates No. 19 in scoring at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Betting Trends
  • Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Chi Cubs is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 10 games
  • Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games
  • Boston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Chicago at Boston, Sunday, April 30th