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Arrieta Finding His Groove After Slow Start

Much was made of Jake Arrieta’s early season struggles but the former Cy Young winner has rounded into form recently. In Arrieta’s past eight games, he has a stellar 2.03 ERA and has allowed one run or less on five occasions. Will the Chicago Cubs pitcher keep rolling when he faces the Cincinnati Reds at the Great American Ball Park on Thursday?

Shark Bites
  • The Cubs are 17-5 SU in their last 22 games on the road against the Reds.
  • The total has gone OVER in 14 of the Reds’ last 17 games.
  • The Cubs are 11-2 SU and ATS in their last 13 games on the road against teams with losing records.

Opposing Arrieta will be Sal Romano, who pitched one of his best games of the season in his most recent start. The big right-hander allowed just one run and pitched a career-high 7.0 innings against the Atlanta Braves last Friday. However, the home crowd has seemed to rattle the youngster, with Romano posting a 6.63 ERA in Cincy.

The Cubbies enter this game in search of their second consecutive series sweep, with the team outscoring the Toronto Blue Jays and the Reds 39-24 in their past five contests. The Reds have been giving up a feast of runs recently, with opposing teams averaging 10 runs per game in their past three.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

On the MLB moneyline for this betting odds matchup, Cincinnati sat as 157 underdogs earlier in the day at Bovada. The OVER/UNDER total was set at 9.5, according to MyBookie.

OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 5.8-3.1 victory for the Cubs. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Cincinnati Reds bring a 53-74 record to the battle against the 68-57 Cubs. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Cincinnati vs Chicago injuries news.

The Cincinnati Reds sit at No. 12 in the current MLB power poll here at OddsShark, while the Chicago Cubs sit at No. 10 on the same chart.

Statistical Matchup

When it comes to getting on base, the visiting Chicago Cubs rank No. 20 at 8.55 hits per game. That compares with the Cincinnati Reds No. 13 ranking in that category.

Defensively, Chicago features the No. 4-rated defense on the road, allowing 4.08 runs per game. Cincinnati, meanwhile, comes in at No. 9 at home, scoring 5.03 runs per game.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Chicago looks to continue its winning ways following a victory last time out against the Reds, a 9-3 final on Wednesday in support of Mike Montgomery at Great American Ball Park.

Betting Trends
  • Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi Cubs' last 7 games
  • Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 14 of Cincinnati's last 17 games
  • Cincinnati is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games at home
  • Cincinnati is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Chicago at Philadelphia, Friday, August 25
Cincinnati home to Pittsburgh, Friday, August 25