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Cubs Favored Over Mets After Offensive Outburst

Snapping their offensive slump and returning to .500 with a 13-run outburst last night, the Cubs will attempt to wrap up their series against the Mets today with a series win. Left-hander Mike Montgomery (2.43 ERA) will take the hill for the Cubs in his second start of the season to face polarizing Mets’ hurler Matt Harvey (4-3, 5.02 ERA).

  • The Cubs are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games against the Mets.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the Mets' last 7 games.
  • The Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games as road favorites.

Although his stats don’t really show it, Harvey has been a little better of late and he’s coming off a decent five-inning performance in which he didn’t give up any runs against a decent Braves’ lineup. He went seven innings allowing no runs in his last appearance against the Cubs but that start came back in 2015, arguably Harvey’s best year as a pro.

His pitching opponent is essentially a stop-gap for the Cubs and he probably won’t be going deep in tonight’s game. Montgomery hasn’t lasted longer than four innings in a game since August of 2015 and he’ll be facing most of the guys in the Mets’ lineup for the first in his career.

With two pitchers going to the mound that could be batted around and with the Cubs’ offense heating back up, the trend that’s seen four of the last five games in this series go UNDER could start to regress in the other direction.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as MyBookie had set the New York Mets as 105 underdogs on the moneyline for this contest. The over under was hovering near 9 for betting fans hoping to turn a profit on totals at Bovada.

Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 4.6-3.8 victory for the Mets. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The New York Mets bring a 29-34 record to the battle against the 32-32 Cubs. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New York vs Chicago injuries news.

The New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs odds would favor the Mets if the betting lines were set according to our power ranks. New York is rated No. 16 in the current Odds Shark poll, while Chicago is at No. 23.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up New York Mets No. 8 ranked offense (4.89 runs per game) against a Chicago Cubs defense and pitching staff that sits at No. 16 at 4.56 runs allowed per game. The New York Mets have been averaging 8.51 hits per game, more than the Chicago Cubs have managed so far this season (7.97 hits on average).

New York owns the No. 28 defense, allowing 4.89 men per game to cross the plate. That contrasts with Chicago's No. 16-rated defense.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Chicago enjoyed a laugher in their last game on Tuesday, running up a 14-3 score against the Mets.

Betting Trends
  • Chi Cubs is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games
  • Chi Cubs is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chi Cubs's last 19 games
  • Chi Cubs is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
  • NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games
  • NY Mets is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Chicago at Pittsburgh, Friday, June 16th
New York home to Washington, Thursday, June 15th