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Is Another UNDER in Store in ’Stros, White Sox Series Finale?

Lucas Giolito is a perfect 4-0 in his four road starts this season and his Chicago White Sox have won each of his last four outings, yet they are a +160 underdog with the host Houston Astros coming back at -180. Corbin Martin counters for the ‘Stros as they seek a third straight win behind him. The total opened at 9 runs.

White Sox vs Astros Game Center

Standout Stats

  • Chicago is 8-11 SU and 9-10 ATS over its last 19 contests. The White Sox are 11-13 on the road this season.
  • Houston is 15-3 SU and 16-2 ATS in its last 18 matches but just 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in the last four. The Astros have an MLB-best 18-5 record at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of Houston’s last 14 matches with an average combined score of 9. Similarly, the total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago’s last 15 contests with an average combined score of 7. The total has gone UNDER in two of the first three games of this series with an average combined score of 7.33.
  • Houston is 2-0 through Corbin Martin’s two appearances this season and he is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP.
  • He is averaging 8.68 K/9, 4.82 BB/9 and 1.93 HR/9 while also holding a HR/FB percentage of 18.2.
  • Opponents are hitting .229 against Martin and just 30.8 percent of the contact is hard-hit. The White Sox rank 29th in hard-hit batted ball percentage vs RHP this season.
  • Martin won his lone home start, restricting opponent bats to an average of .158 and walking just one batter over 5.1 innings.
  • The White Sox are 6-2 in Lucas Giolito outings, including winning his last four in a row, and he is 5-1 with a 3.35 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. He has three quality starts this season as well.
  • He is averaging the highest K/9 and lowest HR/9 rates of his career and also has a HR/FB percentage of just 7.3 which is the ninth-lowest percentage among starters with at least 20 innings pitched.
  • Opponents are hitting just .205 against Giolito and of the contact against, 20.8 percent is soft-hit and 34 percent is hard-hit. The Astros rank 15th in hard-hit percentage vs RHP this month.
  • Giolito is a perfect 4-0 with a 2.42 ERA and a .176 opponent batting average in his four road outings this season.
  • The Astros are 23-13 against right-handed starters this season, leading the majors in batting average and sitting fifth in runs scored against righties. This month, they continue to lead MLB in batting average and are second in runs scored vs RHP.
  • The White Sox are 15-19 against right-handed starters this year, ranking 15th in batting average and 19th in runs scored vs RHP. In May, Chicago sits 21st in batting average and 13th in runs scored against righties.

My Best Bet for Chicago vs Houston

UNDER 9

Giolito has been really good on the road this season, stifling batters to the tune of a measly .176 average and holding an impressive 2.42 ERA. Additionally, he ranks ninth in HR/FB percentage among starting pitchers who have thrown at least 20 innings. Meanwhile, Martin shut down the Texas bats in his lone home start and the White Sox rank 21st in batting average vs RHP this month. Lastly, the UNDER has been trending for both teams recently and has hit in two of the first three games of this series.

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