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Brewers Favored to Complete Sweep Over White Sox Sunday

Lance Lynn and the White Sox match up against the Brewers

The Milwaukee Brewers are 5-2 over their last seven games including back-to-back wins at home over the Chicago White Sox. The Brewers will attempt to finish up their sweep of the White Sox with another win this Sunday night as the two clubs send their respective aces to the mound.

Chicago White Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers
  • Date/Time: July 25, 2021, 7:08 p.m. ET
  • Arena: American Family Field
  • TV Coverage: ESPN
  • Opening Odds: Milwaukee -125 | O/U 7 runs
  • White Sox vs. Brewers Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

The Brewers opened as a -125 favorite in this primetime matchup before being bet up to Milwaukee -143. Chicago is going off as a +132 road underdog on Sunday and the total is up to 7.5 runs after opening at seven runs. Milwaukee was 2-9 in its previous 11 home games against Chicago before this week’s two wins.

Starting Pitchers Analysis

Lance Lynn has allowed one earned run in each of his last three outings, compiling a 1.42 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP through 19 innings pitched in July. Lynn is enjoying the best season of his career in 2021 with a 9-3 record, a 1.94 ERA, a 1.02 WHIP and 109 strikeouts in 97.2 innings pitched. In 102.1 career innings against the Brewers, Lynn owns an impressive 2.20 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP.

Brandon Woodruff has a 2.04 ERA and 0.83 WHIP with 137 strikeouts in 119 innings this season. Woodruff is undefeated with a 3-0 record at home this season and the Brewers are 7-2 across his nine home starts. The 28-year-old has been the second best starting pitcher in the National League this season behind only Jacob deGrom.

Chicago News & Notes

The White Sox fell to 0-3 over their last three games after Saturday’s 6-1 loss to the Brewers. Chicago has been outscored 20-4 over this three-game slump, losing to the Minnesota Twins 7-2 on Wednesday and to the Brewers 7-1 on Thursday. Lance Lynn taking the mound on Sunday should help with the runs allowed, but the offense is going to need to wake up if Chicago hopes to avoid a sweep.

Chicago is running away with the American League Central division. The White Sox’ 58-40 record has the team nine games ahead of the Cleveland Indians for the biggest divisional lead in baseball. Despite their comfortable path towards a playoff spot, the White Sox have a tough road ahead with contenders like the Boston Red Sox, Tampa Bay Rays and Houston Astros all potentially waiting in the postseason.

Milwaukee News & Notes

The second biggest divisional lead in the major leagues belongs to the Brewers, who are 6.5 games ahead of the Cincinnati Reds with a 58-41 record. Milwaukee went 29-31 during the regular season last year and had a -17 run differential in 17 games; this year’s group is well over .500 with a run differential of +67 through the team’s first 99 games.

The Brewers’ 3.34 team ERA is third best in the majors behind only the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants. Milwaukee does have room to improve on offense where it ranks 14th in the majors in run production with 4.42 runs per game. Look for the Brewers to make an offensive acquisition or two ahead of this Friday’s MLB trade deadline.

Betting Pick: UNDER 7.5 Runs

Lance Lynn and Brandon Woodruff have been two of the best pitchers in the game in 2021. This pitcher’s duel should produce a low score that stays UNDER the posted total.

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Shark Bites
  • Chicago is 5-16 as an underdog this season.
  • Milwaukee is 2-5 in its last 7 home games.
  • The UNDER is 6-3-3 in Milwaukee’s last 12 games.