The Chicago White Sox have won each of Ivan Nova’s last five trips to the mound but they are +185 underdogs in tonight’s game against the Minnesota Twins who have four straight and are coming back at -215. A pair of righties in Ivan Nova and Kyle Gibson get the ball with the total Sportsbook at 9.5 runs.
White Sox vs Twins Game Center
Standout Stats
- Minnesota is 6-6 SU and 7-5 ATS over its last 12 games but is currently on a four-game winning streak. The Twins are 36-26 at Target Field in 2019.
- Chicago is 5-6 SU and 7-4 ATS through its last 11 contests. The White Sox are just 25-37 in road games this season.
- The total has gone OVER in seven of the Twins’ last 12 games with an average combined score of 12.42. Meanwhile, the total has been split through the White Sox’s last 10 with an average combined score of 9.5. Lastly, the total has split through 10 contests between these two clubs with an average combined score of 10.
- The White Sox are 13-12 over Ivan Nova’s 25 trips to the mound this season, including his last five starts and he is 8-9 with a 4.51 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 11 quality starts this year as well.
- He is averaging 5.42 K/9, 2.26 BB/9 and 1.46 HR/9 rates this season which are all around his career average.
- Opponents are hitting .282 against Nova and of the batted balls against, 33.5 percent has been hard hit and 18.7 percent has been soft hit. The Twins are ninth in hard-hit percentage vs RHP over the last 30 days.
- Nova has a 4.43 ERA and a .306 opponent batting average through his 14 road outings this season. He averages higher BB/9 and K/9 rates compared to his home appearances. Lastly, he averages higher hard-hit and lower soft-hit percentages as well.
- Minnesota is 15-9 over Kyle Gibson’s 24 starts in 2019 and he is 11-5 with a 4.28 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP, including one relief appearance. He has tossed nine quality starts as well.
- He is averaging the highest K/9 rate of his career and has the second-lowest BB/9 rate of his career as well.
- Opponents are hitting .252 against Gibson and of the contact against, 17.1 percent has been soft hit and 35.8 percent has been hard hit. The White Sox rank dead last in the majors in hard-hit percentage vs RHP.
- Gibson has a 4.41 ERA and a .218 opponent batting average over his 13 trips to the mound at Target Field this year. He averages a higher BB/9 rate and lower K/9 and HR/9 rates compared to his road outings. He also has higher soft-hit and lower hard-hit percentages.
- The Twins are 61-34 against right-handed starters this season, ranking sixth in batting average and third in runs scored vs righties. Over the last 30 days, Minnesota sits eighth in batting average and fourth in runs scored vs RHP.
- The White Sox are 31-50 against right-handed starters in 2019 and are 20th in batting average and 28th in runs scored vs RHP. More recently, Chicago is 26th in batting average and 28th in runs scored vs righties over the last 30 days.
My Best Bet for Chicago vs Minnesota
Twins -1.5
The White Sox have really struggled against right-handed starters this season ranking in the bottom third of the majors in batting average and in runs scored. Additionally, Kyle Gibson has been pretty good at home at holding opponent bats to just a .218 average over 13 appearances. Lastly, the Twins have been strong against RHP ranking among the best teams in MLB in runs scored and batting average.
