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Owner of an 81.00 ERA, Severino Looks for Playoff Redemption in Must-Win Game 4

After getting hammered by the Minnesota Twins in the first inning of the AL wild-card game, Luis Severino will get a chance for redemption when his New York Yankees try to stay alive in their American League Division Series with the Cleveland Indians.

Xbet opened the Yanks as -161 home favorites with a total of 7.5.

Shark Bites
  • The Yankees are 2-7 SU in their last nine games in the playoffs.
  • The Indians are 21-4 SU in their last 25 games against right-handed starting pitchers.
  • The Indians are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games with Trevor Bauer as the starting pitcher.

Trevor Bauer (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will counter on the bump for the Indians. Bauer has allowed two runs and 11 hits over his last 19.2 innings of work in a three-start span to end the regular season. The hurler posted a 4.54 ERA on the road in 2017 but owns a 2.87 career ERA in three starts at Yankee Stadium.

Severino (0-0, 81.00) made a pair of starts against Cleveland in August and allowed four earned runs and six hits in 13.1 innings, recording 18 strikeouts in that stretch. The 23-year-old, who didn’t make it out of the first inning against the Twins, gave up 15 of his 21 home runs at home this season.

After the UNDER cashed in Game 3, betting on low-scoring games continues to be profitable in Indians contests when they play away from home. In Cleveland’s last eight playoff road tilts, the UNDER is 7-1.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those going with the New York Yankees in this one found them listed on the oddsboard as moneyline favorites of -164 at BetOnline for Monday's contest. The betting total was hovering near 7.5 at Bovada.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 3.2-2.6 win for the Indians. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Cleveland Indians vs New York Yankees Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The New York Yankees bring a 93-73 record to the battle against the 104-61 Indians. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New York vs Cleveland injuries news.

The OddsShark MLB Power Rankings have the New York Yankees at No. 4 and the Cleveland Indians at No. 3 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

When it comes to getting on base, the visiting Cleveland Indians rank No. 10 at 8.88 hits per game. That compares with the New York Yankees' No. 7 ranking in that category.

New York owns the No. 3 defense, which contrasts with Cleveland's No. 1-rated defense.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Indians were shut out in their last start, struggling to get much going against the New York staff and losing 1-0 to the Yankees on Sunday at Yankee Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Cleveland is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
  • Cleveland is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
  • Cleveland is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games on the road
  • NY Yankees is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees' last 7 games
  • NY Yankees is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
  • NY Yankees is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Cleveland home to New York, Wednesday, October 11