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Surging Red Sox Eye Sixth Straight Win vs Rockies

The Boston Red Sox are just 2-6 over Chris Sale’s eight appearances this season yet they are -220 favorites in their series opener against the visiting Colorado Rockies, who are coming back at +190. Kyle Freeland gets the ball for Colorado and is sporting a 5.84 ERA in 2019. Tonight’s total opened at 8 runs.

Rockies vs Red Sox Game Center

Standout Stats

  • Boston is 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS through its last 13 contests and is riding a five-game winning streak. The Red Sox are 11-7 at Fenway Park this year.
  • Colorado is 6-7 SU and ATS over its last 13 matches. The Rockies are an even 10-10 away from home.
  • The total has gone OVER in nine of Boston’s last 13 games with an average combined score of 10.54. Meanwhile, the total went OVER in 13 of Colorado’s last 16 matches with an average combined score of 14.
  • The Rockies are 3-5 over Kyle Freeland’s eight starts this season and he is 2-5 with a 5.84 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. He has had two quality starts in 2019.
  • He has the highest HR/9 rate and HR/FB percentage in his career.
  • Opponents are only hitting .236 against Freeland, which is the lowest opponent batting average in his career. However, he has his highest rate of hard-hit batted balls and lowest rate of soft-hit batted balls. Luckily for him, Boston ranks just 25th in hard-hit percentage vs LHP.
  • Freeland has been much better on the road vs home as he sports a 4.37 ERA and a .230 batting average against on the road compared to his four Coors Field outings where he holds a 7.36 ERA and a .250 opponent batting average.
  • Boston is just 2-6 over Chris Sale’s eight outings this season but has won his last two in a row. He is 1-5 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP and has had four quality starts in 2019.
  • He is averaging his lowest K/9 rate since 2016 while having his highest BB/9 since 2011 and the highest HR/9 and HR/FB rates of his career.
  • Opponents are hitting .226 off Sale, which is the highest opponent batting average against him since 2015. Additionally, he is averaging the lowest percentage of soft-hit batted balls in his career. Colorado ranks 14th in the highest percentage of soft-hit balls.
  • Sale has a 5.06 ERA and opponents are hitting .262 against him over his three home starts.
  • Colorado is 7-9 against left-handed starters this season, ranking 10th in batting average and second in runs scored vs LHP. Meanwhile, Boston is 4-7 against left-handed starters and sits 14th in batting average but fourth in runs scored vs southpaws.

My Best Bet for Colorado vs Boston

OVER 8

Since the start of May, Boston has scored the most runs in the majors and Colorado has scored the third-most, while the Rockies also rank second in batting average and the Red Sox rank third. Additionally, the Rockies rank second in runs scored vs LHP this year and the Sox sit fourth. Sale has been good in his last two outings but those came against the Orioles and White Sox, and Freeland has been roughed up frequently this year.

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