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Rockies Continue Free Fall as Road Underdogs

Outscored 23-5 in the first two games, the Rockies will look to close out their series with the Mets on a positive note when they send Jeff Hoffman (4-1, 4.15 ERA) to the bump to meet Steven Matz (2-2, 3.05 ERA). Both hurlers are coming off rocky starts but it’s the home team that’s been pegged as the favorite with Hoffman’s numbers taking a nosedive the last month.

  • The Rockies are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games as road underdogs.
  • The Mets are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games as home favorites.
  • In his only previous meeting against the Rockies, Matz issued 9 hits in 21 at-bats.

That said, Hoffman has been terrific away from Coors Field, a common story for Rockies pitchers, and with a 3-0 record and a 1.67 ERA in four road starts this season, he should give the Rox a good chance to salvage something from this series.

His counterpart tonight will take the mound trying to forget about his last start. Matz gave up five earned runs in that contest with the Cardinals after shutting out his two previous opponents. When he’s on, the southpaw has some of the best stuff in baseball but he was given the gears the last time he faced this lineup and he could be in trouble today.

It’s true that the Rockies haven’t been getting it done as road dogs but given the value they’re offering this afternoon, it seems like a no-brainer.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as MyBookie had set the New York Mets as -141 favorites on the moneyline for this contest. The OVER/UNDER was hovering near 8.5 for betting fans hoping to turn a profit on totals at Bovada.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 5.6-4.5 win for the Mets. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

41-47 New York battles the Rockies, currently with a 52-41 mark. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New York vs Colorado injuries news.

The New York Mets sit at No. 23 in the current MLB power poll here at OddsShark, while the Colorado Rockies sit at No. 27 on the same chart.

Statistical Matchup

Scoring stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features the New York Mets No. 9-ranked scoring average of 4.88 runs per game, against a Colorado Rockies offense rated No. 5 and scoring 5.01 runs per game. The Mets have averaged 8.62 hits per game to date this season, less than the Rockies hitters have managed (9.18 per nine innings).

Colorado brings the No. 16-rated defense to this matchup, facing the Mets's No. 27-ranked defense.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Rockies endured a 9-3 loss at the hands of the Mets on Saturday at Citi Field.

Betting Trends
  • Colorado is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games
  • Colorado is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 11 games
  • Colorado is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games
  • NY Mets is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
  • NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Mets's last 11 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Colorado home to San Diego, Monday, July 17
New York home to St. Louis, Monday, July 17