The Detroit Tigers wrap up their visit to Fenway Park with the series finale against the Boston Red Sox. Detroit began the four-game set by winning the series-Sportsbook doubleheader, but Boston roared back in the third game and now attempts to split the set. Jordan Zimmermann (DET) and Rick Porcello (BOS) take the hill with the Red Sox Sportsbook as a -200 favorite and the Tigers coming back at +170. The total opened at 9 runs.
Standout Stats
- It has been a season of peaks and valleys for the Tigers thus far, as they began the season winning seven of their first 10 games, then promptly dropped six of their next eight and most recently have won three of their last four. Meanwhile, Boston has struggled to find its footing in 2019, sporting a record of 10-15 SU and 7-18 ATS. Detroit won two of the first three games of this four-game set with Boston.
- Detroit has scored the third-fewest runs in the majors this season and that has led to the UNDER being a profitable play as the total has gone UNDER in 14 of its 23 contests. Conversely, Boston has given up the second-most runs against in 2019 and that has resulted in the OVER being the bet to make with 14 of its 25 matches going OVER. The total has gone OVER in two of the first three games in this series.
- Jordan Zimmermann gets the ball aiming to break out of his three-game losing slide. The righty had two terrific outings to start the campaign, tossing seven scoreless innings in his season debut and following that up with 6.2 innings of one-run ball in his next outing. However, the wheels have fallen off since then, as the Wisconsin native has surrendered 14 runs on 18 hits, including five home runs, over 13.2 innings while dropping three straight games. The Red Sox lineup has a batting average of .352 over 71 combined at-bats vs Zimmermann.
- Countering for Boston is Rick Porcello looking to build off his best start of the year. The New Jersey native was roughed up for 14 runs on 22 hits and 12 walks over just 11.1 innings in his first three appearances but tossed 5.2 innings of two-run ball in his last outing. Porcello will have to steer clear of Gordon Beckham, who is a career 15-for-32 with seven extra-base hits vs the righty.
- Boston and Detroit are both having a difficult time picking up the ball from RHP as the Red Sox rank 23rd with a .233 batting average and the Tigers are one spot behind with a .231 average. Boston is 8-9 this season vs right-handed starters and Detroit is 11-9.
My Best Bet for Detroit vs Boston
OVER 9
The total has gone OVER 9 runs in each of Jordan Zimmermann’s last three starts and in all four of Rick Porcello’s outings this season. Boston’s pitching has allowed the second-most runs this year and its bullpen ranks 23rd with a 4.99 ERA.
