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Diamondbacks open as moneyline underdog vs Brewers

Arizona DiamondbacksMilwaukee Brewers
Oct 7, 5:07 PM | GrassMiller Park

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Odds

94-68TEAM RECORD96-66

The Milwaukee Brewers had the best home record in the Majors this year and bettors are banking on that being enough in Game 5 of the NLDS against the Arizona Diamondbacks Friday.

Milwaukee hands the ball to starter Yovani Gallardo in this one and he'll try to improve on his 18-10 mark on the year. The Brew Crew is 7-2 in his past 9 starts.

Arizona counters with Ian Kennedy, who will try to quiet the fans and the Brewers bats at the same time and sneak the DBacks into the NLCS after trailing 0-2. They have momentum, but the Brewers have home-field advantage.

View Arizona vs Milwaukee Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks had installed the Brewers as -146 moneyline favorites in this particular MLB matchup. The total, meanwhile, was set early at 7.5 before betting started to move the line.

Power Rankings:
According to new MLB Power Rankings here, it's the National League No. 2-ranked Brewers and the National League No. 13-rated Diamondbacks in this matchup.

How They Match Up:
Scoring stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features Milwaukee's National League No. 5-ranked scoring average of 4.5 runs per game, against a Diamondbacks offense rated No. 4 and scoring 4.5 runs per game in the league. The Brewers have averaged 8.8 hits per game to date this season, more than the Diamondbacks hitters have managed (8.4 per nine innings).

Comparing defensive stats, Arizona owns the National League's No. 3-rated road mark, allowing 3.9 runs per game on the highway. Milwaukee, on the other hand, rates No. 3 in scoring at home.

Milwaukee was a 10-6 loser in its last match on the road against the Diamondbacks. They lost as +100 underdogs, while the total score of 16 made winners of OVER bettors. Milwaukee didn't get the job done in their last match, falling 10-6 to Arizona on Wednesday at Chase Field.

Arizona Diamondbacks Trends:
When playing on Friday are 6-4
After playing Milwaukee are 5-5
After a win are 6-4

Milwaukee Brewers Trends:
When playing on Friday are 7-3
After playing Arizona are 6-4
After a loss are 5-5

A few Diamondbacks at Brewers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona

 

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