The Houston Astros (99-52) are 1-7 SU in their last eight games against the Baltimore Orioles (78-71). After losing the first two games of their current four-game series in Baltimore, the Astros will try to turn things around as an Astros vs Orioles prediction winner this Saturday night.
Astros vs Orioles Opening Odds
The Astros opened as -217 road favorites before betting action on Baltimore drove the Astros vs Orioles odds down to Houston -175. The Orioles will be looking for an upset as +160 underdogs and the total in this AL matchup is set at 7.5 runs after opening at seven runs. The UNDER is 5-1 in Houston’s last six games as a road underdog.
Framber Valdez pitched six innings and allowed four hits and two earned runs in Houston’s 11-2 win over the Oakland Athletics last Sunday night. Valdez has been rock-solid all season long with a 16-5 record, a 2.57 ERA, a 1.11 WHIP and 176 strikeouts in 185.2 innings pitched.
Tyler Wells lasted only three innings in an 11-0 Orioles loss to the Detroit Tigers last Monday night, giving up four hits and five earned runs in the short outing. Wells has compiled a 4.25 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP this season, but more recently he has recorded an 8.35 ERA in his five starts since the MLB All-Star break.
Houston’s Offense Has Dried Up In Baltimore
The Astros looked sharp in a three-game sweep against the Tampa Bay Rays earlier this week, shutting the Rays out twice and outscoring them 14-2 during the 3-0 SU run. Against the Orioles, it has been the Astros getting shut out twice with a 2-0 loss on Thursday and a 6-0 loss on Friday.
Yordan Alvarez has gone just 1-for-8 (.125) with no runs or RBI over his last three games. Prior to this short slump, Alvarez was 15-for-31 (.484) with six home runs, 13 runs and 12 RBI in his previous eight games, leading Houston to a 7-1 SU record over that stretch.
Baltimore Has Won Three Straight With A Playoff Spot Still In Reach
The Orioles broke out of a 1-4 SU slump with an 8-1 win over Detroit on Wednesday, and have carried the momentum of that win into back-to-back shutout wins over the Astros. Baltimore has closed the gap to three games on the Seattle Mariners for the final wild card spot in the American League with 12 games left to go.
Adley Rutschman went 3-for-3 with a home run, two runs and two RBI in Thursday’s 6-0 win. Rutschman is batting .297 in September with four home runs and 15 RBI this month.
Astros vs Orioles Picks & Insights
Astros: Keys To Victory
The Astros are 7-1 in Framber Valdez’s last eight trips to the mound. Valdez will almost certainly pitch well, so it will be up to Houston’s offense to break out of its current slump to lead the club to an Astros vs Orioles prediction win.
Orioles: Keys To Victory
Tyler Wells is very unlikely to outpitch Framber Valdez. But if he can at least give the Orioles four or five solid innings, it would put Baltimore in a much better position to cash in as an Astros vs Orioles pick on Saturday night.
MLB Computer Picks: Astros ML -175
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