The New York Yankees have won seven straight games, while the Houston Astros have dropped six in a row and for this reason, the Yankees are a -170 favorite to continue their winning ways with the Astros coming back at +145. Masahiro Tanaka and Wade Miley face off on the hill with the total Sportsbook at 10.5 runs.
Standout Stats
- New York is 9-3 SU and ATS over its last 12 contests and is currently riding a seven-game winning streak. The Yankees are 27-13 at home this year.
- Houston is 4-7 SU and 5-6 ATS through its last 11 and is currently on a six-game losing slide. The Astros are 21-18 on the road this season and are 3-2 against the Yankees overall.
- The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Astros’ last 13 games with an average combined score of 8.38. Conversely, the total has gone OVER in nine of the Yankees’ last 13 with an average combined score of 11.38. The total has gone OVER in three of the five meetings between these clubs.
- The Yankees are 7-8 over Masahiro Tanaka’s 15 outings this year and he is 5-5 with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. He has tossed eight quality starts this season as well.
- He is averaging the lowest BB/9 and HR/9 rates since the 2016 season.
- Opponents are hitting just .232 against Tanaka and of the contact against, 38.9 percent has been hard hit and 18.5 percent has been soft hit. Houston ranks 18th in hard-hit percentage vs RHP this month.
- Tanaka has a 2.83 ERA and a .235 opponent batting average over his nine starts at Yankee Stadium this year. He averages lower BB/9 and HR/9 rates while having a higher K/9 rate as well compared to his road outings. He also has lower soft-hit and hard-hit percentages.
- He tossed six innings of one-run ball, allowing three hits in a 4-3 loss to Houston on April 8.
- The Astros are 10-5 behind Wade Miley in 2019 and he is 6-4 with a 3.30 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. He has eight quality starts as well.
- He is averaging the lowest BB/9 rate since the 2012 season and the lowest HR/9 rate since 2015.
- Opponents are hitting .238 against Miley and he has the lowest WHIP since the 2012 season. Of the batted balls against, 17.3 percent is soft-hit contact and 38.2 percent is hard hit. The Yankees rank 12th in hard-hit percentage vs LHP in June.
- Miley has a 4.68 ERA and a .268 opponent batting average over his eight road starts this year. He has higher BB/9 and lower K/9 rates while his HR/9 rate remains the same compared to his home outings. He also has a lower hard-hit percentage and higher soft-hit percentage.
- New York’s bullpen has tossed the 12th-most innings this month and has the 17th-lowest ERA. Meanwhile, Houston’s bullpen has hurled the 13th-most innings and has the fifth-highest ERA.
- The Astros are 32-23 against right-handed starters this year and are ninth in batting average and 10th in runs scored vs RHP. In June, Houston is 25th in batting average and 16th in runs scored vs righties.
- The Yankees are 9-9 against left-handed starters this season, ranking 25th in batting average and runs scored vs southpaws. This month, New York sits 28th in batting average and 19th in runs scored vs LHP.
My Best Bet for Houston vs New York
UNDER 10.5
New York is struggling badly to find success against left-handed pitching this season and rank near the bottom of the league offensively vs southpaws this month. Meanwhile, Tanaka has been extremely good this season and even more so when he hurls in front of the New York faithful with a 2.83 ERA. On the flip side, Miley hasn’t been as sharp on the road with a 4.68 ERA, but he does have lower hard-hit and higher soft-hit percentages compared to his home appearances.
