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Yankees, Astros Both Playing Well Ahead of Clash in New York

Aaron Judges' Yankees are favored in the Houston vs New York odds for May 4.

The New York Yankees are 9-4 in their last 13 home games against the Houston Astros. The Yankees will try to make use of their home-field advantage in a three-game series against the Astros starting Tuesday night in the Bronx.

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees
  • Date/Time: May 4, 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium
  • TV Coverage: ESPN
  • Opening Odds: Yankees -120 | O/U 8.5 (Line History)
  • Astros vs Yankees Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

The betting odds on this game have remained steady since opening with New York going off as a -120 favorite at home and the Astros set as +110 road underdogs. The total has been bumped up to 9 runs since opening at 8.5 runs. Houston is 2-4 in its last six games on the road.

Starting Pitchers Analysis

Zack Greinke continues to pitch well at the top of the Astros rotation with a 3.44 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP through his first six starts. Greinke has pitched a lot better on the road this season than he has at home with a sparkling 0.86 ERA and 0.62 WHIP across three road starts. Houston is 5-1 in the six games Greinke has pitched in.

Domingo German was a breakout star in 2019 with an 18-4 record, a 4.03 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP before missing the entire 2020 season due to a domestic abuse suspension. Through his first four starts in 2021, German has compiled a 4.05 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. He pitched seven shutout innings against the Baltimore Orioles in his last trip to the mound, allowing only three hits and striking out six.

Houston News & Notes

The Astros held leads of 3-0 and 4-3 over the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday night, but in the end, the Rays escaped with a 5-4 win to avoid being swept by Houston. The Astros were 5-1 over their previous six games before Sunday’s loss, outscoring opponents 26-11.

Houston is scoring 4.93 runs per game, good for fifth in the majors, and ranks 10th with a team ERA of 3.72 through 28 games. The Astros had an inexplicable 1-9 stretch in April in which they gave up 5.8 runs per game and scored only 2.6 runs per game. Outside of that slump, the Astros are 14-4 with a +64 run differential.

New York News & Notes

Corey Kluber was outstanding on Sunday night, pitching eight scoreless innings with only two hits and one walk allowed while striking out 10 in a 2-0 win over the Detroit Tigers. It was New York’s third shutout win over the team’s last five games as the Yankees improved to 5-1 over their last six.

Aaron Judge had a nice series against the Tigers, going 5-for-12 with two home runs and eight RBIs. The Yankees have turned things around of late with a 9-4 record over their last 13 games after starting the year off 5-10, but their recent wins have had more to do with strong pitching than the offense. New York ranks 13th in the American League in run production with only 3.93 runs per game.

Betting Pick: Houston +110

Houston has been far better this season than its record would indicate. With Greinke on the mound getting underdog odds, the Astros are too good to pass up on in this spot.

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Shark Bites
  • Houston is 4-1 in its last 5 games vs New York.
  • New York is 4-1 in its last 5 home games.
  • The UNDER is 10-4 in New York’s last 14 games.