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Blue Jays Eye Series Victory on Canada Day vs the Royals

Kansas City vs Toronto Betting Odds

The Toronto Blue Jays aim to win on Canada Day for the first time since 2015 and are a -125 favorite to do so with the visiting Kansas City Royals coming back at +115. Glenn Sparkman and Clayton Richards get the ball, both looking to lower their elevated ERA’s and today’s total opened at 10.5 runs.

Royals vs Blue Jays Game Center

Standout Stats

  • Toronto is 6-10 SU and 8-8 ATS over its last 18 games. The Blue Jays are 15-26 at the Rogers Centre this season.
  • Kansas City is 7-7 SU and 9-5 ATS through its last 14 contests. The Royals have a 13-30 record on the road in 2019.
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of the Jays’ last 14 with an average combined score of 11.93. Similarly, the total has gone OVER in seven of the Royals’ last 14 matches with an average combined score of 9.86. The total has gone OVER in two of the first three meetings in this series.
  • Kansas City is 3-4 through Glenn Sparkman’s seven starts this season and he is 2-3 with a 4.07 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP, including eight relief appearances. Sparkman has three quality starts as well.
  • He is averaging the lowest K/9 and BB/9 rates of his career but has the highest HR/9 rate as well. Despite a modest 4.07 ERA, his FIP is more elevated at 5.37.
  • Opponents are hitting .258 against Sparkman but just 9.9 percent of the contact against has been soft hit and 40.8 percent has been hard hit. The Blue Jays ranked 22nd in the majors in hard-hit contact vs RHP in June.
  • Sparkman has a 7.85 ERA and a .299 opponent batting average over his six road outings, three in relief. He has higher K/9, BB/9 and HR/9 rates compared to his home appearances. He also has lower soft-hit and hard-hit percentages.
  • Toronto is 2-5 behind Clayton Richard this year and he is 0-4 with a 6.89 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP. He is coming off his first quality start of the season.
  • He has the highest BB/9 and HR/9 rates of his career while having the lowest K/9 mark since the 2013 season.
  • Opponents are hitting .301 against Richard and he has a career-high 1.69 WHIP. Of the batted balls against, 22.2 percent have been soft hit and 38.9 percent have been hard hit. The Royals were 27th in MLB in hard-hit percentage vs LHP in June.
  • Richard has a 7.71 ERA and a .288 opponent batting average in his four starts at the Rogers Centre. He has higher K/9 and BB/9 rates while having a lower HR/9 compared to the road. Lastly, he has a much higher soft-hit percentage and lower hard-hit percentage as well.
  • The Blue Jays rank 17th in bullpen ERA over the last 30 days at 4.63 and the Royals are one spot behind with a 4.79 ERA.
  • Kansas City is 8-15 against left-handed starters this year, ranking 26th in batting average and 19th in runs scored vs southpaws. In June, the Royals were 22nd in batting average and eighth in runs scored vs LHP.
  • Toronto is 18-36 against right-handed starters this season, sitting dead last in MLB in batting average and 26th in runs scored vs righties. In June, the Jays ranked 24th in batting average and 23rd in runs scored.

My Best Bet for Kansas City vs Toronto

Kansas City moneyline

The Royals have been effective in manufacturing runs against southpaws through June and lefty Clayton Richard has been downright bad this season. Additionally, the Jays haven't won on Canada Day since 2015 and sit dead last in the majors in batting average against RHP this season.