The New York Yankees capped a road trip by hitting 21 home runs in their last five games and have Luis Severino, who has been lights out at Yankee Stadium, on the bump for their return to the Bronx. The Yanks are 17-3 SU in Severino’s last 20 home starts and with the surging Los Angeles Angels in town, Sevvie will need to be an ace to shut down the Angels, who are 16-5 SU on the road this season. New York opened as a -207 fave to get the victory in the Big Apple.
From the outside looking in, Severino isn’t viewed in the same ballpark as aces like Max Scherzer and Chris Sale but the Yankees have no problem with him flying under the radar. New York is 9-1 SU in his 10 starts this season and Severino’s ERA is an impressive 1.67 at home in five starts while holding opposing batters to a .174 batting average.
New York just needs above-average starting pitching to complete its winning recipe because, from a hitting standpoint, the Yankees are head and shoulders above every team in baseball. The Yankees are averaging 5.98 runs per game and have clubbed a whopping 79 homers this season. If bettors want to invest in the Yankees, don’t be afraid of the runline as the Yanks are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games at home with Severino on the mound.
As for the Angels, they’re countering with Andrew Heaney and he’s coming off a tough outing vs the Rays where he allowed four unearned runs after a throwing error loaded the bases. But if Heaney can hold his ground, his offense may be able to bail him out as the Angels are averaging 5.9 runs per game on the road this season with a convincing .284 batting average away from Los Angeles.
The total opened at 8.5 and while both of these pitchers can control a game, the OVER should be considered with these two offenses locking horns. The OVER has hit in five of the last seven games in this matchup and the Yankees are the highest-scoring team in baseball at home, averaging 6.4 runs per game.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
The Los Angeles Angels were listed as +212 underdogs on the MLB baseball moneyline at many online sportsbooks, including Sportsbook. The total was set at 8 before betting started earlier on Friday over at Sportsbook.
Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 5.4-1.4 win for the Yankees. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.
Los Angeles Angels vs New York Yankees Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The New York Yankees sport a record of 31-15 heading into this matchup, while the Los Angeles Angels sit at 28-22 on the season Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New York vs Los Angeles injuries news.
According to MLB Power Rankings here, it's the No. 1-ranked Yankees and the No. 6-rated Angels in this matchup.
Statistical Matchup
On offense, it's a battle between the New York Yankees and their No. 1-rated batting order, averaging 5.98 runs per nine innings, and the No. 8 lineup of the Los Angeles Angels at 4.7 runs per outing.
Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping betting factors and New York has the No. 15-ranked defense. In the other dugout, Los Angeles owns the No. 11 mark in runs allowed.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Los Angeles rolled to a 8-1 win against Toronto on Thursday, as Nick Tropeano and the Angels' bats led the team to victory at Rogers Centre.
The Yankees were saddled with a loss last time out in CC Sabathia's start, as they lost 12-10 against Texas on Wednesday at Globe Life Park.
Next Betting Matchups
Los Angeles at New York, Saturday, May 26