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Dodgers eye World Series berth in Game 6 of the NLCS vs the Brewers

Dodgers vs Brewers Betting Odds

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 3-2 series lead in the NLCS against the Milwaukee Brewers and look to advance to the World Series for the second straight year when they play Game 6 at Miller Park tonight. The Dodgers and Brewers split the two previous games in Milwaukee and it’s a pick’em game tonight with both teams having odds of -110. Hyun-Jin Ryu and Wade Miley get the ball with the total opening at 8 runs.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Brewers’ last eight games in the playoffs.
  • The Dodgers are 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in Hyun-Jin Ryu’s five career playoff starts.
  • Wade Miley (MIL) hasn’t allowed an earned run vs the Dodgers this season.

Dodgers vs Brewers Game Center

Miley looks to remain perfect in the postseason

Wade Miley (5-2, 2.57 ERA) gets the ball for the fourth time in the playoffs and has yet to allow a run. Granted, in his last appearance in Game 5, he faced just one batter – whom he walked – before manager Craig Counsell elected to use a bullpen approach and gave him the hook. Prior to that appearance, the lefty had tossed 10.1 scoreless innings while allowing just five hits and five walks, getting the ball in Game 3 of the NLDS and Game 2 of the NLCS.

The Louisiana native toes the rubber against the Dodgers for the fifth time this season and has yet to allow an earned run. As mentioned above, the lefty faced just one batter in Game 5 before being removed from the game, but he did throw 5.2 scoreless innings vs Los Angeles in Game 2 of the NLCS, allowing just two baserunners, both on hits. Miley also threw a combined 13 innings in the regular season without allowing an earned run and giving up just six hits. However, the Brewers are just 1-3 SU in those four starts vs the Dodgers this year.

Dodgers eye a sixth straight win behind Ryu

Hyun-Jin Ryu (7-3, 1.97 ERA) has continued his strong play at the end of the regular season into his two starts in the playoffs. The Dodgers won Ryu’s last three trips to the mound in September as he allowed just one earned run and 12 hits over that span. Similarly, Los Angeles is 2-0 SU in Ryu’s two trips to the mound in the postseason and he has allowed just two earned runs and 10 hits in those appearances. The Dodgers went 3-3 SU over the lefty’s six road outings this year while he sported a respectable 3.58 ERA.

Ryu opposed Miley in Game 2 of the NLCS at Miller Park and the Dodgers won that game 4-3, with the 31-year-old surrendering two earned runs on six hits over 4.1 innings. Ryu has been fairly strong in his five career postseason starts, with Los Angeles winning four of those games and the South Korean holding an impressive 2.30 ERA, giving up two runs or less in four of the five appearances.

UNDER trending in the NLCS

Through the first five games of the NLCS, there has been an average combined score of 6.4 and Bovada has tonight’s total opening at 8 runs. Additionally, only one of the previous five games in this series had a combined score of more than seven runs. Meanwhile, Ryu has made 17 trips to the mound this year, including the postseason, and 10 of the games had a combined score of less than eight runs. In the playoffs, the Brewers have gone UNDER in six of their eight games and only once have they had a game go over seven runs, while the Dodgers hitters have just a .191 average with a .538 OPS vs LHP.

My Take on the Dodgers vs Brewers

If it wasn’t evident from my previous paragraphs, I like the UNDER 8 runs for Game 6 of the NLCS. In addition to the points above, Los Angeles has gone OVER 8 runs in just two of its nine postseason games this year with an average combined score of seven. Lastly, the Dodgers have gone UNDER 8 runs in four of Ryu’s five career playoff appearances, with only his first-ever start having gone OVER when he allowed four earned runs, his most ever in a postseason outing.