I'm back with another MLB same-game parlay today for an NL battle between the Mets and Rockies.
Colorado enters this contest with just four wins in the last 11 games, so I'm fading the Rockies as part of this three-leg, +213 parlay.
Check out our full Mets vs Rockies same-game parlay here:
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Mets vs Rockies Same-Game Parlay Today
Mets vs Rockies Odds - 8:41 p.m. ET
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| Mets ML | -154 |
| Paul Blackburn OVER 4.5 Ks | -113 |
| Francisco Lindor Hit | -420 |
| Overall | +213 |
Mets vs Rockies Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 1: Mets ML
For starters, the Rockies just aren't playing very good baseball right now. They're 4-7 in the last 11 games, being outscored by 20 runs in that stretch.
Now, they face a Mets team that's historically dominated them. New York is 14-9 against the Rockies over the last four seasons including a 2-1 record so far this season (+.15 units).
The big key for me here is the pitching matchup, though. There couldn't be a bigger difference between Colorado's Ryan Feltner and New York's Paul Blackburn. Feltner is 1-10 this season (-7.00 units) with a 5 ERA. Blackburn is 5-2 (+6.46 units) with a 4.11 ERA. That edge is clearly in New York's favor.
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Mets vs Rockies Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 2: Blackburn OVER 4.5 Ks
I just broke down why Blackburn is part of the reason I'm backing the Mets tonight. But, I also think he's gonna have a great day in the strikeout department.
Blackburn's actually been pretty good with the Ks lately, tossing six strikeouts in his first outing with the Mets last week and breaking 4.5 Ks in five of his last seven outings.
He's also faced a few of these Rockies bats in the past, and has held current Colorado hitters to a .250 OBP and .667 OPS. Ezequiel Tovar is hitless with two strikeouts in four attempts against Blackburn. You can bet UNDER 1.5 Tovar hits tonight at -185.
I think the entire Colorado lineup is going to be a big part of this K OVER, as the Rockies rank out as the second-worst strikeout team in baseball, rocking a 26.0% team strikeout rate.
Mets vs Rockies Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 3: Francisco Lindor OVER 0.5 Hits
The Mets' season turnaround has come largely on the back of Lindor. Since the start of June he's hitting over .270 and has hits in 17 of his last 20 games.
Now, he faces a Rockies starter in Feltner who's rocking a 5 ERA and has allowed 132 hits in 121.1 innings this season. Lindor may be hitless in four at-bats against Feltner, but he does have five walks and an RBI. He clearly sees the Rockies starter well, so I expect that first hit to fall tonight.
