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Strasburg Has Carved Up the Fish This Year

Washington Nationals right-hander Stephen Strasburg has fared extremely well against the Miami Marlins this season, as the hurler has more wins against them than any other opponent. Strasburg will once again take the bump vs the Fish on Wednesday, where sportsbooks opened the Marlins as +194 road underdogs with a total of 8.5.

Shark Bites
  • The Marlins are 0-4 SU in their last four games against the Nationals.
  • The Nationals are 6-1 SU in their last seven games when closing out a series.
  • The Marlins are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games during the afternoon.

Adam Conley is set to counter for the Marlins. Conley (6-5, 5.17 ERA) got out of his last outing with a no-decision despite allowing five runs on six hits over 5.1 innings of work against San Diego. The 27-year-old is 1-3 with a bloated 8.22 ERA vs the Nationals in his career.

Strasburg (10-4, 3.10) has permitted two earned runs and seven hits while racking up 15 strikeouts over 12 innings since returning from the disabled list. The ace will need to be careful against Marcell Ozuna, as Ozuna is 11-for-31 with two home runs and seven RBIs against him.

The OVER is red-hot when these teams get together, evidenced by four of the last five matchups between the Nats and Marlins going OVER the total.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as MyBookie had set the Washington Nationals as -220 favorites on the moneyline for this contest. The OVER/UNDER was hovering near 8 for betting fans hoping to turn a profit on totals at Bovada.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 4.5-3.6 win for the Marlins. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Washington Nationals sport a record of 80-51 heading into this matchup, while the Miami Marlins sit at 66-65 on the season. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Washington vs Miami injuries news.

This game matches up the No. 7 (Washington Nationals) and the No. 12 (Miami Marlins) teams, according to our current MLB Power Rankings.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Washington Nationals No. 2-rated offense, averaging 5.32 runs per game, against a Miami Marlins defense that ranks No. 19 at 4.89 in runs allowed per game. The Washington Nationals have averaged 9.35 hits per game so far, more than Miami Marlins batters have averaged on the year (9.08 hits per game).

Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping betting factors and Washington has the No. 5-ranked defense. In the other dugout, the Marlins own the No. 19 mark in runs allowed.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Miami looks to rebound from a loss to the Nationals, who beat them 8-3 on Tuesday behind a start from Edwin Jackson at Nationals Park.

Betting Trends
  • Miami is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games
  • Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Miami is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games
  • Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
  • Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Miami home to Philadelphia, Thursday, August 31
Washington at Milwaukee, Thursday, August 31