Jon Lester has allowed just one earned run at Wrigley Field this season and his Chicago Cubs are -135 favorites in the series finale against the visiting Milwaukee Brewers who are coming back at +120. Jhoulys Chacin is sporting an ugly 7.50 ERA on the road, but his Brewers are 4-4 in his starts this season. Tonight's game has an Sportsbook total of 7.5 runs.
Although Jon Lester has been remarkable at home, he has been hit somewhat hard and he has a much higher opponent batting average at Wrigley than on the road. Meanwhile, Milwaukee is eighth in batting average and fourth in runs scored against LHP. Chacin has been hurt by the long ball, but the Cubs rank 21st in hard-hit batted ball percentage against righties.
The total has gone UNDER in nine of Milwaukee's last 13 games.away Jon Lester (CHC) has allowed just one ER in three home starts this season.home Chicago is 14-6 at home this season.home