The Philadelphia Phillies (6-9) host the Milwaukee Brewers (9-6) on Sunday at Citizens Bank Park in the final meeting of their three-game series. The Brewers are 5-1 in their last six games while the Phillies are 2-4 over their last six. Find out which club will take the series in our Brewers vs Phillies prediction.
Brewers vs Phillies Opening Odds Analysis
The Phillies opened as the home favorite at -172 on the moneyline with the visiting Brewers going off at +125. The total was set at eight runs with the UNDER going 4-1 in Milwaukee’s last five outings and 3-2-1 in Philadelphia’s last six. Philadelphia is 5-1 in the last six meetings against Milwaukee at Citizens Bank Park – a nod to the home team in our Brewers vs Phillies prediction.
Aaron Nola (1-2) gets the start for Philadelphia on Sunday as he looks to get back into the win column after two straight losses. Nola threw 5.1 innings against the Colorado Rockies on April 18, giving up six hits and two earned runs in a losing effort. The right-hander went 9-9 through 32 starts last season, posting a 4.63 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP.
Eric Lauer (1-0) makes his third start of the season for Milwaukee. The southpaw picked up a win in his last outing on April 18 against the Pittsburgh Pirates as he went six innings, scattering six hits while giving up just one run. Lauer went 7-5 in 24 games last season with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP.
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Four-Run Fifth Inning Powers Brewers Win
The Brewers evened up the series at one game apiece on Saturday with a 5-3 win over Philadelphia. The Phillies went out to a 3-0 lead through three innings but the Brewers battled back thanks to a four-run fifth inning. Jace Peterson, Willy Adames and Christian Yelich each hit RBI singles in the inning, with Adames eventually scoring the fourth run after a wild pickoff attempt from Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto.
Milwaukee has lost just one series this year – its first of the season against the Chicago Cubs. They’ll look to keep their streak going with a win in Sunday’s rubber match against the struggling Phillies.
Wheeler Falls To 0-3 In Phillies Loss
Things were looking good on Saturday as Nick Castellanos knocked in two runs through the first three innings to help the Phillies go up 3-0 early. It all fell apart in the fifth inning, though, as the Brewers put together a five-hit, four-run rally to take a lead which they would not relinquish. Starter Zack Wheeler took the loss and fell to 0-3 after allowing seven hits and four earned runs through five innings.
While Milwaukee hasn’t lost a series since the first few days of the season, Philadelphia hasn’t won one since they took two of three games from the Oakland Athletics in their opening set.
Brewers vs Phillies Pick & Insights
Brewers: Keys To Victory
The Brewers have received some great pitching over their last five games, allowing just 2.4 runs per contest over that span. If Lauer can put up a performance similar to his last one, Milwaukee should take home the series.
Phillies: Keys To Victory
Bryce Harper has had a slow start to the season by his standards with 11 RBI and just two home runs while batting .241. The Phillies have been middle of the pack offensively but if Harper’s bat wakes up they could beat the stingy Brewers.
Odds Shark’s Computer Brewers vs Phillies Prediction: Brewers ML +150
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