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Mariners Have Been a Near Lock to Go OVER at Home

Winners of seven of their last 10 games, the Minnesota Twins are sitting pretty atop the Central Division and will be looking to improve on their 27-15 SU record tonight on the road against the Seattle Mariners. Sportsbooks opened the Twins as -110 road faves with a total of 9.5.

Twins vs Mariners Game Center

Standout Stats

  • Minnesota is playing its next seven games on the road beginning with the opener of a four-game series vs the M’s. The Twinkies are 12-7 SU on the road in 2019.
  • Seattle has picked up a pair of one-run victories at home against the Oakland Athletics after dropping 12 of 14 to fall to a season-worst three games below .500.
  • Michael Pineda is slated to start for the Twins. Pineda (2-3, 5.85 ERA) was 0-3 over his previous four starts and was tagged for 19 runs and 30 hits over 19 innings before giving up three runs – all on solo home runs – in his last time out vs the Detroit Tigers.
  • Erik Swanson will counter for the Mariners. Swanson (1-4, 6.35) surrendered two homers for the third time in four starts and was hammered for seven runs on seven hits over 4.2 innings in a loss at Boston on Friday. The last time Swanson faced Cleveland was on May 5 when he tossed six scoreless innings of one-hit ball.
  • When the Twins and Mariners get together, the UNDER is cashing. The UNDER is a perfect 4-0 in the past four matchups between Minnesota and Seattle with an average combined score of 3.8 runs.
  • Seattle has fared well vs Minnesota in recent clashes, as the Mariners are 5-0 SU in their last five games against the Twins.

My Best Bet for Twins-Mariners

OVER 9.5 runs

Based on the recent struggles of Pineda and Swanson, I’m on the OVER tonight as I’m expecting both offenses to tee off vs the hurlers. While the aforementioned UNDER trend will likely generate significant traction on the UNDER, I’m going against the grain and banking on offensive fireworks in Washington.

After all, the Mariners have gone OVER in five of their last six home games with an average combined score of 11.9 runs. Take the OVER.