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Who’s Got the Edge in Monday’s Marquee Pitching Matchup?

Fresh off taking back first place in the AL Central, the Twins will roll onto Yawkey Way this evening looking to extend their winning streak to four and they’ll send their second-year stud Jose Berrios (7-1, 2.67 ERA) to the bump to face Chris Sale (9-3, 2.85 ERA) in the series opener against the BoSox. Monday’s marquee pitching matchup should draw plenty of betting interest – especially with the Twins opening as such large underdogs.

  • The Red Sox are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games after losing consecutive games.
  • The Twins are 3-7 SU and on the runline in their last 10 games against winning teams.
  • The Twins have won 4 straight games with Jose Berrios as their starting pitcher.

Minnesota could have something special in Berrios. In his last two starts – during which he pitched 16 total innings – the 23-year-old Puerto Rican allowed four combined runs, struck out 14 batters and issued just two free passes. Sale’s numbers over his last two starts are nearly identical but he did give up two home runs in the pitcher-friendly ballpark in Kansas City.

It’s difficult to give either team the edge in the starting pitching department with both teams’ hurlers putting up stingy numbers this season so you may want to give the Twins a serious look tonight as they try to tie their longest winning streak of the season. Minnesota is 23-9 SU on the road this season and 23-19 SU as an underdog so the +173 moneyline they opened with seems a bit gaudy.

Falling in love with value can get you in trouble often times but after a night in which the most heavily backed public teams went 0-4 SU, these Twinkies are looking very attractive.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Minnesota Twins were listed as 181 underdogs on the MLB baseball moneyline at many online sportsbooks, including Bet365. The total was set at 8.5 before betting started earlier on Monday over at Bovada.

OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 4.9-3.9 victory for the Red Sox. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Boston Red Sox sport a record of 41-34 heading into this matchup, while the Minnesota Twins sit at 39-34 on the season Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Boston vs Minnesota injuries news.

The Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins odds would favor the Red Sox if the betting lines were set according to our power ranks. Boston is rated No. 15 in the current OddsShark poll, while Minnesota is at No. 24.

Statistical Matchup

At the plate, Boston owns the No. 10 ranking for hits at 9 per game. By contrast, the Minnesota Twins are rated No. 15 in the same category at 8.68 per game.

Boston owns the No. 5 defense, allowing 4.67 men per game to cross the plate. That contrasts with Minnesota's No. 26-rated defense.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Twins didn't allow a single run in their last start, as their staff shut out Cleveland 4-0 on Sunday at Progressive Field.

Boston suffered a 4-2 loss against Los Angeles on Sunday, as Doug Fister wasn't able to lead his team to victory at Fenway Park.

Betting Trends
  • Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
  • Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
  • Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
  • Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • Boston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Minnesota at Boston, Tuesday, June 27th