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Red Sox Struggle When Closing Out A Series

The Boston Red Sox will look to take three of four against the Minnesota Twins when the two teams close out their series at Fenway Park on Thursday. The Sox may be looking at a split, if recent trends continue, with the squad going 1-5 SU and against the runline in its past six games closing out a series.

  • Mitch Moreland is 7-for-17 with 3 HRs in his past 5 games.
  • The Twins are 7-2 SU and ATS in their last 9 games on the road against teams with winning records.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the Red Sox' last 8 games with David Price as the starter.

David Price is coming off a quality start against the Angels in his last outing but was pulled early due to a cracked middle fingernail. Hopefully for the BoSox, that won’t cause Price to regress, as the lefty did not surrender a home run for the first time this season against LA. Price has loved facing the Twins in his career with a 2.43 ERA in 16 career appearances against Minny.

The Twins will start Kyle Gibson, who has actually been a little better than his numbers show. The righty is still prone to a dreadful outing — he has allowed five or more earned runs four times this season — but he has allowed two or fewer runners to score in four of his past six starts. Though these types of outings have been rare, Gibson has posted a 0.60 ERA in two career starts at Fenway.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Boston was a -206 moneyline favorites earlier in the day at BetOnline, based on the starting pitcher matchup. That pairing made oddsmakers at 5Dimes pick an opening OVER/UNDER number of 9.5.

OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 4.8-2.8 victory for the Red Sox. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

43-35 Boston battles the Twins, currently with a 40-36 mark. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Boston vs Minnesota injuries news.

The Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins odds would favor the Red Sox if the betting lines were set according to our power ranks. Boston is rated No. 15 in the current OddsShark poll, while Minnesota is at No. 24.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up Boston Red Sox No. 15 ranked offense (4.67 runs per game) against a Minnesota Twins defense and pitching staff that sits at No. 26 at 5.13 runs allowed per game. The Boston Red Sox have been averaging 8.99 hits per game, more than the Minnesota Twins have managed so far this season (8.59 hits on average).

Defensively, Minnesota features the No. 4-rated defense on the road, allowing 3.97 runs per game. Boston, meanwhile, comes in at No. 16 at home, scoring 4.66 runs per game.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Minnesota got the job done in their last match in a 4-1 victory over Boston on Wednesday at Fenway Park behind starter Adalberto Mejia.

Betting Trends
  • Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
  • Minnesota is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
  • Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
  • Boston is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Minnesota at Kansas City, Friday, June 30th
Boston at Toronto, Friday, June 30th