The New York Mets (98-59) are 1-4 SU in their last five games against the Atlanta Braves (98-59) after losing the first game of this current three-game series 5-2. The Mets will try to snap out of their recent slump against Atlanta with win on the road as a Mets vs Braves prediction this Saturday night.

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Mets vs Braves Opening Odds

Opening Odds

The Mets vs Braves odds in this NL East rivalry matchup have remained unchanged since the Mets opened as -125 favorites on Saturday. The Braves will be looking for an upset as +105 home underdogs while the total has settled in at 6.5 runs after opening at 7.5 runs. The OVER is 10-1 in New York's last 11 road games.

Starting Pitchers

 

Max Scherzer pitched six innings and allowed four hits and one earned run with seven strikeouts in New York's 13-4 win over the Oakland Athletics last Sunday night. Scherzer enters the weekend with an 11-4 record, a 2.13 ERA, a 0.88 WHIP and 169 strikeouts in 139.2 innings pitched in 2022.

Kyle Wright allowed two hits and two earned runs across 5.1 innings pitched last Saturday, picking up his 20th win of the season in a Braves victory over the Philadelphia Phillies. The Braves are 8-0 SU in Wright's last eight starts, and the right-hander is 20-5 with a 3.18 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP and 171 strikeouts in 175.1 innings pitched this season.

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  • Best Spread
    +155
    -165
    NYM-1.5
    +1.5ATL
  • Best Moneyline
    -113
    +105
    NYM
    ATL
  • Best Total
    +105
    -105
    Over7.5
    7.5Under

New York Has Been Alternating Wins And Losses Of Late

The Mets surged to 95-55 SU with a six-game winning streak earlier this month, but since then they are just 3-4 SU over their last seven games including Friday night's 5-2 road loss to the Braves. New York has alternated wins and losses over its last eight games and as a result, is 4-0 SU in its last games coming off of a loss.

Jacob deGrom was forced to leave Friday night's start after six innings due to a blister on his pitching hand. The Mets ace has now allowed at least three runs in each of his last four starts, bumping his ERA up from 1.66 to 3.08 over that span.

Atlanta's Offense Back On A Roll During Recent Hot Streak

The Braves stumbled through a rare losing streak last week with an 0-3 SU run and the team scored only one run per game in those three losses. Atlanta has gone 5-1 SU since then including Friday's win, averaging 6.17 runs per game during this stretch.

Matt Olson, Dansby Swanson, and Austin Riley all hit home runs off of Jacob deGrom on Friday night. Olson leads the Braves in RBI this season with 97, Swanson leads the club in batting average with a .276 and Riley leads Atlanta in home runs with 38 in 2022.

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Mets vs Braves Picks & Insights

Mets: Keys To Victory

While both of these teams rank in the top four in run production this season, the Braves have a slight edge on offense averaging 4.90 runs per game to New York's 4.75 runs per game. With this in mind, it will be up to Max Scherzer to make up the difference and to lead New York to a Mets vs Braves prediction win on the road.

Braves: Keys To Victory

Atlanta is 15-1 SU in Kyle Wright's last 16 starts. The one loss over that stretch came to the Mets, when Wright allowed six earned runs in a 6-4 loss on the road. Wright will need to be a lot better this time around to give Atlanta a shot at outdueling Max Scherzer and earning the upset win as a Mets vs Braves pick.

MLB Computer Picks: OVER 6.5 Runs

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Shark Bites
  • New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 October games.
  • Atlanta is 11-1 SU over its last 12 home games.
  • The OVER is 6-0 in New York's last 6 games.
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