MLB

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

New York
Mets
98 - 58
Jacob deGrom (5-4) ERA: 3.08
Atlanta
Braves
97 - 59
Max Fried (14-7) ERA: 2.48
September 30, 2022, 7:20 PM EDT
 | Truist Park

Game Preview

New York
Mets
98 - 58
Jacob deGrom (5-4) ERA: 3.08
Atlanta
Braves
97 - 59
Max Fried (14-7) ERA: 2.48
September 30, 2022, 7:20 PM EDT
 | Truist Park
  • The Atlanta Braves (97-59) and New York Mets (98-58) collide at Truist Park on Friday as they open up a three-game set. The Braves are 4-1 in their last five outings while the Mets are 8-3 in their last 11 games. Find out which of these powerhouses has the edge in our Braves vs Mets prediction.

    Bet On Mets vs Braves Here

    Mets vs Braves Betting Preview

    Mets vs Braves Sportsbook Odds Analysis

    Sportsbook Odds

    The Mets opened as the slight road favorite at -120 on the moneyline with the Braves coming in at -105, making this one essentially a pick ‘em. The total was set at 6.5 runs with the OVER going 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between the two clubs. Atlanta has won eight of the last 12 meetings at Truist Park, so you may be tempted to side with the hosts in your Mets vs Braves prediction.

    Starting Pitchers

     

    Max Fried (13-7) took a loss in his last outing on September 22 against the Philadelphia Phillies despite allowing just five hits and one earned run over five innings. The left-hander owns a 2.50 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 180.1 innings this season.

    Jacob deGrom (5-3) was rocked for six hits and five earned runs by the Oakland Athletics on September 24 in a losing effort. The Mets starter has a 2.93 ERA and a 0.74 WHIP in 58.1 innings.

    Get the best Braves vs Mets odds and lines available from our recommended sportsbooks for your favorite picks of the night

    • Best Spread
      NYM
      ATL
    • Best Moneyline
      NYM
      ATL
    • Best Total
      Over
      Under

    Escobar’s Five-RBI Night Helps Mets Rally To Victory

    The Mets picked up a series win over the Miami Marlins on Wednesday thanks to a 5-4 victory in extra innings. New York rallied back from a 4-0 deficit after Eduardo Escobar hit a two-run homer in the seventh and followed that up with a two-RBI single in the eighth. Escobar capped his five-RBI night off with the walk-off single in the 10th.

    It was another big night for the third baseman, who now has a team-leading 11 RBI over the last week. Escobar also had a four-RBI performance last Friday against the Athletics.

    Braves’ Offense Comes Up Short Again

    The Braves dropped their series finale to the Washington Nationals on Wednesday as they lost 3-2 in extra innings. Matt Olson hit a solo shot in the second while Dansby Swanson came home on an error in the eighth to round out the scoring for the Braves, who managed just six hits in the ballgame.

    Atlanta has had a habit of struggling to score in its losses of late as the club is averaging just two runs per game over its last eight defeats.

    Sportsbook

    Mets Player Prop: Escobar OVER 3 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+106)

    Escobar has been red hot over his last five outings with seven hits, two homers, three runs and 11 RBIs in those contests. If the third baseman has another decent night, he should easily hit the OVER on three hits, runs and RBIs.

    Braves Player Prop: Harris OVER 3 Total Bases From Hits (+100)

    Michael Harris II has been Atlanta’s most consistent hitter this month with a team-leading 32 hits and 57 total bases – 16 more bases than the club’s next-closest batters. Harris is getting +100 to record at least three total bases on Friday – a feat he’s accomplished nine times this month.

    Mets vs Braves Picks & Insights

    Mets: Keys To Win

    New York’s challenge on Friday will be dealing with Fried, who hasn’t given up more than two earned runs in nine straight starts. If the Mets are going to take the series opener, they’ll need deGrom to have a strong start and hopefully get at least two or three runs past Fried.

    Braves: Keys To Win

    The Braves have clearly struggled to score in each of their last eight losses so there’s a simple formula for them to win: score more than two or three runs! No one has been particularly hot at the plate so it’ll take a group effort for Atlanta to put up some offense.

    MLB Computer Picks: Mets ML -120

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    Shark Bites
    • The UNDER is 5-0 in Atlanta’s last 5 home games.
    • The OVER is 5-0 in New York’s last 5 games.
    • Atlanta is 14-6 in its last 20 games vs NL.

Odds

Friday, September 30 Fri Sep 30


Opening
Current

Runline
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
-1.5
+144
-120
o6.5
-112
+1.5
-200
-105
u6.5
-122
Runline
Moneyline
O/U
Current
-1.5
+161
-110
o6.5
-115
+1.5
-181
+100
u6.5
-105

Edge Finder

4.25
Runs
4.54
2.80
Walks
2.68
7.79
Hits
7.95
7.47
Strike Outs
9.21

Head To Head

NYM
Stat Type ATL
5.00
Runs
5.30
9.00
Hits
8.60
2.70
Walks
2.30
8.00
Strikeouts
10.10
7-2-1
O/U
7-2-1
NYM
Stat Type ATL
3.67
Runs
5.00
7.67
Hits
7.00
1.33
Walks
3.33
9.67
Strikeouts
9.00
1-2
O/U
1-2
Aug 18/22 (1 of 10)
NYM
Stat Type ATL
Away
Home
2
Runs
3
6
Hits
6
0
Walks
0
9
Strikeouts
12
6.5 o
O/U
6.5 u
Starting Pitcher
NYMATL
Jacob deGrom (R)
Max Fried (L)
Aug 17/22 (2 of 10)
NYM
Stat Type ATL
Away
Home
9
Runs
7
14
Hits
7
2
Walks
4
6
Strikeouts
12
7.5 o
O/U
7.5 u
Starting Pitcher
NYMATL
Max Scherzer (R)
Jake Odorizzi (R)
Aug 16/22 (3 of 10)
NYM
Stat Type ATL
Away
Home
0
Runs
5
3
Hits
8
2
Walks
6
14
Strikeouts
3
8.5 o
O/U
8.5 u
Starting Pitcher
NYMATL
Taijuan Walker (R)
Charlie Morton (R)
Aug 15/22 (4 of 10)
NYM
Stat Type ATL
Away
Home
1
Runs
13
7
Hits
15
1
Walks
3
5
Strikeouts
4
8 o
O/U
8 u
Starting Pitcher
NYMATL
Carlos Carrasco (R)
Spencer Strider (R)
Aug 7/22 (5 of 10)
NYM
Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
5
Runs
2
10
Hits
2
3
Walks
1
8
Strikeouts
19
7 o
O/U
7 u
Starting Pitcher
NYMATL
Jacob deGrom (R)
Spencer Strider (R)
Aug 6/22 (6 of 10)
NYM
Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
6
Runs
2
8
Hits
7
2
Walks
0
5
Strikeouts
12
7 o
O/U
7 u
Starting Pitcher
NYMATL
Max Scherzer (R)
Max Fried (L)
Aug 6/22 (7 of 10)
NYM
Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
8
Runs
5
13
Hits
12
6
Walks
4
8
Strikeouts
10
9 o
O/U
9 u
Starting Pitcher
NYMATL
David Peterson (L)
Jake Odorizzi (R)
Aug 5/22 (8 of 10)
NYM
Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
6
Runs
9
12
Hits
14
5
Walks
2
10
Strikeouts
6
8.5 o
O/U
8.5 u
Starting Pitcher
NYMATL
Taijuan Walker (R)
Ian Anderson (R)
Aug 4/22 (9 of 10)
NYM
Stat Type ATL
Home
Away
6
Runs
4
9
Hits
7
3
Walks
1
5
Strikeouts
10
8 o
O/U
8 u
Starting Pitcher
NYMATL
Carlos Carrasco (R)
Kyle Wright (R)
Jul 13/22 (10 of 10)
NYM
Stat Type ATL
Away
Home
7
Runs
3
8
Hits
8
3
Walks
2
10
Strikeouts
13
8 o
O/U
8 u
Starting Pitcher
NYMATL
Chris Bassitt (R)
Charlie Morton (R)

Starting Pitchers

DateOppSUScoreO/UIPLineERWHIPStrikeoutsDecision
Sep 24, 2022OAKL4-10O4-40052.505Loss
Sep 18, 2022PITW7-3O5-48030.8013No Decision
Sep 13, 2022CHCL1-4U6-43030.8310Loss
View Pitcher Log
DateOppSUScoreO/UIPLineERWHIPStrikeoutsDecision
Sep 22, 2022PHIL0-1U5-14011.208Loss
Sep 16, 2022PHIW7-2O6-21021.174No Decision
Sep 10, 2022SEAL1-3U6-12120.836Loss
View Pitcher Log
DateOppSUScoreO/UIPLineERWHIPStrikeoutsDecision
Aug 18, 2022ATLL2-3U6.20-12730.759Loss
Aug 7, 2022ATLW5-2P5.20-15420.3512Win
Jul 1, 2021ATLL3-4P7-17030.7114No Decision
View Pitcher Log
DateOppSUScoreO/UIPLineERWHIPStrikeoutsDecision
Aug 18, 2022NYMW3-2U7+11720.576Win
Aug 6, 2022NYML2-6O6+11721.175Loss
Jul 11, 2022NYML1-4U5-132225Loss
View Pitcher Log

Team Records

NYM
Record ATL
98-58
All
97-59
51-27
Home
52-26
47-31
Away
45-33
78-39
As Fav
86-36
17-18
As Dog
9-19
84-72
ATS
80-76
38-40
ATS Home
37-41
46-32
ATS Away
43-35
82-67-7
O/U
77-71-8
40-36-2
O/U Home
35-40-3
42-31-5
O/U Away
42-31-5
32-22
vs. LHP
36-16
66-36
vs. RHP
61-43
NYM
Record ATL
9-11
All
13-7
5-5
Home
7-3
4-6
Away
6-4
7-6
As Fav
13-7
2-5
As Dog
0-0
6-14
ATS
10-10
2-8
ATS Home
5-5
4-6
ATS Away
5-5
11-8-1
O/U
15-3-2
5-5
O/U Home
7-1-2
6-3-1
O/U Away
8-2
5-5
vs. LHP
7-3
4-6
vs. RHP
6-4
NYM
Record ATL
89-47
All
84-52
46-22
Home
45-23
43-25
Away
39-29
71-33
As Fav
73-29
15-13
As Dog
9-19
78-58
ATS
70-66
36-32
ATS Home
32-36
42-26
ATS Away
38-30
71-59-6
O/U
62-68-6
35-31-2
O/U Home
28-39-1
36-28-4
O/U Away
34-29-5
27-17
vs. LHP
29-13
62-30
vs. RHP
55-39
NYM
Record ATL
47-23
All
44-26
23-11
Home
22-12
24-12
Away
22-14
36-18
As Fav
38-14
9-4
As Dog
5-10
43-27
ATS
37-33
18-16
ATS Home
17-17
25-11
ATS Away
20-16
40-28-2
O/U
39-26-5
21-12-1
O/U Home
17-17
19-16-1
O/U Away
22-9-5
16-7
vs. LHP
15-6
31-16
vs. RHP
29-20
NYM
Record ATL
7-3
All
6-4
3-1
Home
2-1
4-2
Away
4-3
6-3
As Fav
6-3
1-0
As Dog
0-1
6-4
ATS
4-6
2-2
ATS Home
1-2
4-2
ATS Away
3-4
8-2
O/U
4-6
3-1
O/U Home
0-3
5-1
O/U Away
4-3
4-1
vs. LHP
2-1
3-2
vs. RHP
4-3

Gametime Weather

6:20pm Sunny
23ºC / 73ºF
41% Humidity
0% Precipitation
10% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 11
mph

Injuries

NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries
NamePositionInj Desc
No Reported Injuries

Last 10 Games

DateOppScoreSULineTotalStarterIPOPP. Starter
Sep 28, 2022MIA5-4W-1807Taijuan Walker5Jesus Luzardo
Sep 27, 2022MIA4-6L-2207Carlos Carrasco3Pablo Lopez
Sep 25, 2022OAK13-4W-3306.50Max Scherzer6JP Sears
Sep 24, 2022OAK4-10L-4006.50Jacob deGrom4Ken Waldichuk
Sep 23, 2022OAK9-2W-2307Chris Bassitt8Cole Irvin
Sep 21, 2022MIL0-6L-1358.50Taijuan Walker6Adrian Houser
Sep 20, 2022MIL7-5W-1208Carlos Carrasco4Aaron Ashby
Sep 19, 2022MIL7-2W+1006.50Max Scherzer6Corbin Burnes
Sep 18, 2022PIT7-3W-4806.50Jacob deGrom5Johan Oviedo
Sep 17, 2022PIT5-1W-3208Chris Bassitt6Bryse Wilson
View Game Logs
DateOppScoreSULineTotalStarterIPOPP. Starter
Sep 28, 2022WSH2-3L-2108.50Jake Odorizzi3.20Josiah Gray
Sep 27, 2022WSH8-2W-2208.50Kyle Muller4.20Paolo Espino
Sep 26, 2022WSH8-0W-2609.50Bryce Elder9Cory Abbott
Sep 25, 2022PHI8-7W-1408.50Charlie Morton4.20Kyle Gibson
Sep 24, 2022PHI6-3W-1258Kyle Wright5.10Bailey Falter
Sep 23, 2022PHI1-9L+1447Jake Odorizzi4Aaron Nola
Sep 22, 2022PHI0-1L-1407.50Max Fried5Ranger Suarez
Sep 21, 2022WSH2-3L-2609Bryce Elder5.20Paolo Espino
Sep 20, 2022WSH3-2W-3358.50Charlie Morton5.10Patrick Corbin
Sep 19, 2022WSH5-2W-4008.50Kyle Wright6Cory Abbott
View Game Logs