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New York Has Cleveland on the Brink of Elimination

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Indians Betting Odds

The New York Yankees snapped out of their recent 2-6 skid with an impressive 12-3 win over the Cleveland Indians on Tuesday night in Game 1 of their best-of-three set. The Yankees can close out the series with another win in Cleveland on Wednesday evening.


New York Yankees vs Cleveland Indians
  • Date/Time: September 30, 7:08 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Progressive Field
  • TV Coverage: ESPN
  • Opening Odds: Yankees -115 | O/U 8 (Line History)
  • Yankees vs Indians Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

Since opening as a -115 road favorite, the Yankees have received most of the early betting action and are now going off at -131 in Cleveland. The Indians are +111 home underdogs and the total has remained steady at 8 runs. Cleveland is 7-4 in its last 11 games as a home underdog but is 0-2 in two instances as one this season.

Starting Pitchers Analysis

Masahiro Tanaka had his best statistical season with the Yankees since 2016, recording a 3.56 ERA and 1.17 WHIP across 10 regular-season starts. Tanaka allowed more than three earned runs only once in those 10 starts.

Carlos Carrasco finished the regular season with a 2.92 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP and 82 strikeouts in 68 innings pitched. Carrasco has pitched at least six innings in each of his last six starts and owns a dazzling 1.66 ERA and 1.03 WHIP over that stretch. He enters this matchup with a 4.04 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Yankees.

New York News & Notes

Seven of the eight playoff teams that played on Tuesday scored four runs or less. The Yankees were the exception, tagging Shane Bieber for seven earned runs en route to a 12-3 blowout win over the Indians.

Gleyber Torres went 4-for-4 with a home run, three runs and three RBIs and Brett Gardner went 3-for-5 with two runs, a homer and three RBIs. It is a testament to the depth of New York’s lineup that Torres bats seventh and Gardner eighth.

New York will now get two cracks at putting the Indians away in this best-of-three series. The Yankees are 3-2 in their last five postseason games when their opponent is facing elimination.

Cleveland News & Notes

Shane Bieber gave up only 14 earned runs in 77.1 innings pitched across 12 regular-season starts this season. He gave up half that many in just 4.2 innings on Tuesday night. The loss had to be a jarring one for the Indians, who were 7-1 in their previous eight games before Tuesday’s disastrous defeat.

Cleveland will need much better outings from Carlos Carrasco and Zach Plesac on the mound to have a shot at winning this series.

The Indians were a betting underdog 11 times during the regular season and went 3-8 over those 11 games. Cleveland is also 0-7 over its last seven playoff games with four postseason losses to the Yankees during that stretch.

Betting Pick: New York -131

Cleveland may have the edge in this starting pitching matchup, but New York’s edge on offense is far greater. Masahiro Tanaka should be able to handle Cleveland’s offense well enough to give this Yankees lineup the chance to break through with a series-ending win.


Shark Bites
  • New York is 4-2 in its last 6 postseason road games.
  • Cleveland is 9-3 in its last 12 games.
  • The OVER is 5-1 in New York’s last 6 games vs Cleveland.