The Colorado Rockies have made a habit of lighting up scoreboards lately, as the club has reached double digits in runs in three of its last four tilts. The Rockies look to accomplish the feat against the visiting New York Mets when they complete a four-game series Thursday afternoon. Sportsbooks opened the Mets as +135 road underdogs with a total of 11.
- The Rockies are 0-6 SU and ATS in their last six games when closing out a series.
- The total has gone OVER in five of the Rockies’ last six games against left-handed starting pitchers.
- The Mets are 2-7 SU in their last nine games on the road against the Rockies.
Who has the edge in the pitching matchup?
Steven Matz and Kyle Freeland are the probable starters in this one. Matz (3-4, 3.31 ERA) collected a victory in his last appearance over the Arizona Diamondbacks last Saturday in which he allowed one run and six hits over 6.2 innings. The 27-year-old has allowed three earned runs or less in all but one of his 13 starts this season while giving up a home run in just one of his last five turns. Matz is 0-3 with a 6.50 ERA in four career meetings with the Colorado Rockies.
Freeland (6-6, 3.59) came away with a no-decision in his last start against the Texas Rangers last Saturday despite matching his season high with seven innings. He is 3-2 in five home starts in 2018 and has posted a 2.93 ERA – more than a full run lower than his mark on the road. The hurler tossed three scoreless innings of relief against the Mets as a rookie last season.
Rockies haven’t been able to finish series strong
Betting on the Rox when they’re concluding a series has been a fruitless endeavor of late. In Colorado’s past six when closing out a series, the team is 0-6 SU and ATS. In that span, the Rockies have given up an average of eight runs per game to opposing teams in that spot. As a result, the OVER has been the hot bet, as five of those contests have ended up going above the closing total. The totals at Coors Field are always high, but don’t be scared off by the large number in this one.
Rockies are cashing the OVER against lefties
When the Rockies face left-handed pitching, fireworks are normally in store. Colorado has gone OVER the total in five of its previous six when facing a southpaw, so keep an eye on the OVER tonight when they square off against Matz. In 2018, the Rockies have a team batting average of .270 against lefties compared with a .242 number vs righties.
For more betting info on the diamond, head over to our MLB page.
