The New York Yankees (50-18) are 4-1 in their last five games against the Tampa Bay Rays (37-31) after losing to the Rays 5-4 on Tuesday night. New York will try to get back into the win column as a Yankees vs Rays prediction favorite Wednesday night in Tampa Bay.
Yankees vs Rays Odds & Analysis
The Yankees opened as -152 road favorites before betting action on Tampa Bay as the preferred Yankees vs Rays prediction in this AL East rivalry game bumped the line down slightly to New York -145. The Rays are listed at +125 and the total in this matchup is set at 7 runs. The UNDER is 4-1 in Tampa Bay’s last five home games against the Yankees.
Jordan Montgomery pitched six innings and allowed three hits and two earned runs in a 12-3 Yankees win over the Toronto Blue Jays last Friday night. Montgomery has surrendered two or fewer runs in 11 of his last 12 starts and will carry a 2.72 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP into Wednesday night’s start against the Rays.
Shane Baz bounced back from a disappointing 2022 season debut with six shutout innings and seven strikeouts in a 1-0 Rays loss to the Baltimore Orioles on Friday. Baz now owns an 0-1 record with a 5.40 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP through his first two starts this season.
New York Hasn’t Lost A Series Since Last Month
The Yankees suffered through a brief 1-4 slump in the middle of May that included losing two games in a three-game home series against the Chicago White Sox. New York has compiled a 21-5 record since then, picking up seven wins and one tie in the club’s last eight series.
Aaron Judge is leading the way on offense in 2022, batting .300 with 25 home runs and 50 RBIs, but he’s not the only Yankee having a big season. Anthony Rizzo has collected 19 home runs and 49 RBIs and Giancarlo Stanton has 14 homers and 42 RBIs. The Yankees (112 home runs) and Atlanta Braves (105) are the only teams in the majors with more than 90 round-trippers this season.
Tampa Bay Looking To Snap Out Of Slump With A Home Win
The Rays were 2-8 over their previous 10 games before defeating the Yankees 5-4 on Tuesday. Tampa Bay hasn’t won back-to-back games since sweeping the St. Louis Cardinals in a three-game series earlier this month.
The club’s team ERA of 3.16 ranks fourth in the majors, but the pitching staff’s margin for error has been slim with the Rays ranking 23rd in the majors in run production, averaging only 4.03 runs per game. Bettors taking Tampa Bay as their Yankees vs Rays prediction on Wednesday will be counting on a strong effort from Shane Baz and the bullpen.
Yankees vs Rays Pick & Insights
Yankees: Keys To Victory
The Yankees have the best record in the majors by a wide margin thanks to their proficiency both at the plate and on the mound. Jordan Montgomery has been extremely consistent all season long, and another standard start from him in this matchup should give New York’s offense an excellent chance to win as a Yankees vs Rays prediction.
Rays: Keys To Victory
New York has a very clear edge on offense in this matchup, and runs will be especially hard to come by for the Rays with Montgomery on the mound. All of the clearest paths to a Yankees vs Rays pick upset win for Tampa Bay include the Rays pitching very well and grinding out a low-scoring victory.
MLB Computer Pick: Yankees -150
Check out more of our signature MLB computer picks, plus our favorite sportsbooks that serve baseball customers.
Doc's Picks Service
Need more winning picks? Get $60 worth of premium member picks from Doc’s Sports – a recognized leader and trusted name in sports handicapping since 1971.