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Toronto and New York Finish Their Evenly-Matched Series Sunday

New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview

The New York Mets and Toronto Blue Jays have split the first two games of their three-game series 1-1 this weekend and have split their 10 games against eachother since 2015 5-5 apiece. Something has to give when the Blue Jays host the Mets in Buffalo this Sunday night.

New York Mets vs Toronto Blue Jays
  • Date/Time: September 13, 3:07 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Sahlen Field
  • TV Coverage: RSN, SNY
  • Opening Odds: Blue Jays -160 | O/U 9.5 (Line History)
  • Mets vs Blue Jays Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

Since opening as a -140 favorite, the Blue Jays have been bet up to -160 favorites in Sunday’s series finale. The Mets are +135 underdogs in this matchup after closing as favorites of -220 on Friday and -165 on Saturday. The total has moved down slightly from its opening position at 9.5 runs down to nine runs.

Starting Pitchers Analysis

David Peterson had the worst start of his rookie season last Monday when he allowed five earned runs with four walks in just two innings against the Philadelphia Phillies. Peterson’s ERA jumped from 3.03 to 4.26 after the rough outing; the 25-year-old hadn’t allowed more than three runs in any of his previous six starts.

Hyun-Jin Ryu had compiled six straight starts allowing one earned run or less before allowing five runs to the New York Yankees in his last start on Monday. Even after the bad start, Ryu has proven to be an excellent offseason addition for the Blue Jays this year with a 3.19 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP across nine starts. Toronto is 6-1 in Ryu’s last seven starts.

New York News & Notes

The Mets have had a strong season at the plate averaging 5.07 runs per game on offense. Michael Conforto has led the way batting .341 with 35 runs, nine home runs, and 31 RBI. But while New York has hit the ball well in 2020, the team still sits on the outside looking in for a playoff spot with a 21-25 record due to a disappointing 4.66 team ERA.

New York’s pitching staff was hit hard with Noah Syndergaard and Marcus Stroman both missing the entire season. Jacob deGrom is having another unbelievable season with a 1.67 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP in nine starts, but the Mets have struggled to find any consistency in the starting staff behind him. The Mets have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games, but they’ll need to ramp up the wins to make an improbable playoff push down the stretch.

Toronto News & Notes

Toronto is getting Bo Bichette back at just the right time. Bichette went 1-for-4 with a run in his first game back in action on Saturday since missing the last month of play with a knee injury. The Jays’ offense has hit a slump this week averaging only two runs per game over the team’s last four games; but despite the low offensive output, Toronto is still 2-2 over that four-game stretch.

Overall, the Blue Jays have played well over the last month with an 18-9 record since opening the season with a 7-11 start. Seven of their remaining 15 games come against the New York Yankees in a pair of series that will likely determine which team gets the AL East’s second automatic playoff spot behind the Tampa Bay Rays.

Betting Pick: UNDER 9 runs

Peterson and Ryu both had bad outings in their last trips to the mound, but both were rock-solid before that. Both starters should bounce back with strong performances this Sunday to set up a pitcher’s duel that yield’s a low-scoring game.

Shark Bites
  • New York is 3-11 in 14 games as an underdog this season.
  • Toronto is 4-2 over its last 6 games.
  • The UNDER is 5-2 in Toronto’s last 7 home games.