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Home-Field Disadvantage Highlights Indians-Yanks Series

The Cleveland Indians and New York Yankees open their American League Division Series at Progressive Field on Thursday, which might be a bad sign for the Tribe. The road team has taken the past five meetings between the Indians and Yankees – including the past two in Cleveland when the Bronx Bombers outscored the Tribe 10-2.

  • The Indians are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games at home with Trevor Bauer as the starting pitcher.
  • The Yankees are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games when opening a series.
  • The Yankees are 0-3 SU in their last 3 games against the Indians.

That being said, the Indians have won their past six series at home with an overall record of 16-3 in those outings. On the flip side, the Yankees have been rather pedestrian on the road of late, going 7-5 in their past 12 away from the Big Apple.

Perhaps unexpectedly, the Indians will lean on Trevor Bauer to start Game 1. The 26-year-old righty has been one of the Indians’ better pitchers over the past two months, posting a 2.57 ERA in 12 appearances – 11 of which were starts – since the start of August. Bauer has been even more impressive in his two starts against the Yankees this season, allowing just two earned runs in 13.0 innings vs the Bronx Bombers.

The Yanks will turn to Sonny Gray, who has been a solid addition to the rotation. Since being acquired from the Oakland A’s, Gray has a 3.72 ERA with 8.1 K/9 in 11 starts. However, the righty struggled closing out the season, allowing four or more earned runs in three of his six starts in September.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

On the MLB moneyline for this betting odds matchup, Cleveland sat as -120 favorites earlier in the day at Bovada. The OVER/UNDER total was set at 8.5, according to MyBookie.

Prediction-scoring formulas run on this game pick a potential 3.6-2.8 result in favor of the Indians. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

New York Yankees vs Cleveland Indians Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Cleveland Indians bring a 102-60 record to the battle against the 92-71 Yankees. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Cleveland vs New York injuries news.

This game puts the Cleveland Indians, most recently No. 3 in the OddsShark MLB Power Rankings, up against the New York Yankees, who rate a No. 4 in the latest survey.

Statistical Matchup

Scoring stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features the Cleveland Indians' No. 6-ranked scoring average of 5.05 runs per game, against a New York Yankees offense rated No. 2 and scoring 5.31 runs per game. The Indians have averaged 8.93 hits per game to date this season, less than the Yankees hitters have managed (9.05 per nine innings).

Defensively, New York features the No. 8-rated defense on the road, allowing 4.26 runs per game. Cleveland, meanwhile, comes in at No. 10 at home, scoring 5.01 runs per game.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Yankees grabbed a win last time out, defeating Ervin Santana and the Twins 8-4 on Tuesday at Yankee Stadium.

Cleveland looks to continue its winning ways following a victory last time out against the White Sox, a 3-1 final on Sunday in support of Josh Tomlin at Progressive Field.

Betting Trends
  • NY Yankees is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games
  • NY Yankees is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees' last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Yankees' last 15 games on the road
  • Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Cleveland is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
  • Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

New York at Cleveland, Friday, October 6