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Yankees Look to Play Role of David Once Again vs Goliath Astros

Fresh off a miraculous 2-0 comeback in the American League Division Series against the heavily favored Cleveland Indians, the New York Yankees will look to play the role of David once again when they square off with the Houston Astros in Game 1 of the AL Championship Series on Friday night.

MyBookie opened the Astros as -164 home favorites with a total of 8.

Shark Bites
  • The Yankees are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games after losing the previous game in a matchup.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Yankees’ last five games on the road with Masahiro Tanaka as the starting pitcher.
  • The Astros are 6-0 SU in their last six games when opening a series.

Masahiro Tanaka and Dallas Keuchel will get the ball in the series opener. Tanaka (1-0, 0.00 ERA) put together the best start for New York in the ALDS, a seven-inning effort that saw him scatter three hits while striking out seven without allowing a run in a Game 3 triumph. The hurler has been red-hot dating back to the regular season, as he’s enjoying a stretch of 14 consecutive scoreless innings with 22 strikeouts in that span.

Keuchel (1-0, 1.59) is getting the nod after Justin Verlander was used for 2.2 innings of relief in the clinching game of the ALDS in Boston. The 29-year-old struck out seven while allowing one run in Game 2 of the ALDS while making it look easy in the process. Keuchel is 5-2 with a tiny 1.24 ERA in seven career starts against New York, including six scoreless innings in the 2015 wild-card game at Yankee Stadium.

OVER bettors will be paying attention to this game, and for good reason. In the last five meetings between the Yankees and Astros, the OVER is 5-0.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The visiting New York Yankees were +165 moneyline underdogs in this one earlier in the day at most online sportsbooks including Bovada. The total was 8 at Bet365 for those preferring OVER/UNDER betting.

OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 4.4-4.0 victory for the Astros. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Houston Astros bring a 104-62 record to the battle against the 95-73 Yankees. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Houston vs New York injuries news.

The Houston Astros sit at No. 2 in the current MLB power poll here at OddsShark, while the New York Yankees sit at No. 4 on the same chart.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Houston Astros' No. 1 ranked offense (5.54 runs per game) against a New York Yankees defense and pitching staff that sits at No. 3 at 4.06 runs allowed per game. The Houston Astros have been averaging 9.83 hits per game, more than the New York Yankees have managed so far this season (8.99 hits on average).

Comparing defensive stats, New York owns the No. 8-rated road mark, allowing 4.29 runs per game on the highway. Houston, on the other hand, rates No. 13 in scoring at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Yankees enjoyed a 5-2 victory at the expense of the Indians on Wednesday, with CC Sabathia throwing 4.1 innings of 5-hit ball at Progressive Field.

Houston rolled to a 5-4 win against Boston on Monday, as Charlie Morton and the Astros' bats led the team to victory at Fenway Park.

Betting Trends
  • NY Yankees is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • NY Yankees is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
  • NY Yankees is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • NY Yankees is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
  • Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Houston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games
  • Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

New York at Houston, Saturday, October 14