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Yanks are Running Train in the Subway Series

The 2017 edition of the Subway Series culminates at Citi Field tonight when the Yankees send out their 23-year-old ace in an attempt to complete the sweep of their New York City rivals. Bookmakers are high on the Yanks in this one, opening the Bronx Bombers as -178 moneyline favorites.

  • The Mets are 0-8 SU and on the runline in their last 8 games as home underdogs.
  • The Yankees are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games against the Mets.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of the Mets’ last 9 games with a closing total of 7.5 or less.

Luis Severino had 10 runs hung on him in his last start but he’s still sporting an impressive 3.32 ERA to go along with a 9-5 record in 23 starts this season. Before his implosion against the BoSox, Sev had won four straight decisions and his team had won six straight games when he’d taken the starting bump.

As is the case for many right-handed Yankee pitchers, Severino performs much better on the road. His 2.59 ERA in 12 starts away from Yankee Stadium trails only Chris Sale and Yu Darvish in the American League for the best road ERA.

Given how well the Yankees bullpen has been since the trade deadline, Severino can get a win tonight even in the unlikely scenario that he’s not sharp against a middle-of-the-road offense.

Toeing the other side of the rubber, we’ll see New York native Steven Matz (5.54 ERA) go for his first win since June 28. The Mets have won just one of the southpaw’s last eight starts and the writing is on the wall. If the team won’t let Matz throw his slider, I can’t see him being an effective major leaguer.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as Bovada had installed the New York Mets as 168 moneyline underdogs in this particular MLB betting odds matchup. The total, meanwhile, was set early at 8 before betting at 5Dimes started to move the line.

OddsShark computer prediction formulas pick a 4.6-3.0 win for the Yankees on Thursday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

New York Yankees vs New York Mets Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The New York Mets bring a 53-65 record to the battle against the 64-55 Yankees. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and New York vs New York injuries news.

According to MLB Power Rankings here, it's the No. 28-ranked New York Mets and the No. 10-rated New York Yankees in this matchup.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits New York Mets No. 15-rated offense, averaging 4.67 runs per game, against a New York Yankees defense that ranks No. 5 at 4.18 in runs allowed per game. The New York Mets have averaged 8.47 hits per game so far, less than New York Yankees batters have averaged on the year (9.01 hits per game).

New York brings the No. 5-rated defense to this matchup, facing the Mets's No. 27-ranked defense.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Yankees rolled to a 5-3 win against the Mets on Wednesday, as Jaime Garcia and the Yanks' bats led the team to victory at Citi Field.

Betting Trends
  • NY Yankees is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • NY Yankees is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • NY Yankees is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of NY Yankees' last 18 games on the road
  • NY Mets is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • NY Mets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets' last 5 games
  • NY Mets is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

New York at Boston, Friday, August 18
New York home to Miami, Friday, August 18