My MLB same-game parlay today features three legs from the Orioles vs Blue Jays AL East clash.
I'm betting on the offenses to go OVER in this one, predicting guys like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Anthony Santander to have big days.
Check out our full Orioles-Blue Jays same-game parlay here:
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Orioles vs Blue Jays Same-Game Parlay Today
Orioles vs Blue Jays Odds - 7:08 p.m. ET
| Bet | Odds |
|---|---|
| OVER 8.5 Runs | -104 |
| Orioles ML | -140 |
| Vladdy Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 Hits | -290 |
| Overall | +291 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Same-Parlay Pick No. 1: Orioles Moneyline
The Orioles are 16-7 against the Blue Jays over the last two seasons and are 6-4 (-.57 units) against them in 2024. That lack of unit profit may be concerning, but today's line (-140) is actually the lowest number the Orioles have been favored by against Toronto since early June — so we've got some rare value.
The big key here, though, is Baltimore's success against Toronto SP Chris Bassitt. The Orioles beat Bassitt and the Jays last week 6-2, with the starter allowing five runs in four innings. That fits with the historical trend of these Baltimore bats against the SP, as current Orioles have a .400 average and 1.082 OPS against Bassitt in 70 total at-bats.
Bassitt has also been shaky in general lately, losing four of his last five starts (and eight of 10), rocking a 7.01 ERA this month. I'm taking a Vladdy prop below, but you could easily have Anthony Santander or Eloy Jimenez props tonight, with each guy hitting over .300 against Bassitt. The two Baltimore bats have -240 and -250 odds to get a hit tonight, respectively.
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Orioles vs Blue Jays Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 2: Over 8.5 Runs
So, the Orioles mash Chris Bassitt historically, we know that. But, Toronto's bats have almost as much success against Baltimore's Grayson Rodriguez. Toronto bats have a .311 average and 1.003 OPS against G-Rod in 61 career at-bats.
In two starts against the Jays this season, Rodriguez has allowed six runs in 12.2 innings pitched with both games going OVER this 8.5 run mark.
We've got all the trends on our side here:
- Four of Rodriguez's last five outings have gone OVER 8.5.
- Six of the last eight Toronto vs Baltimore games have gone OVER this 8.5 run mark.
Orioles vs Blue Jays Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 3: Guerrero Jr. OVER 0.5 Hits
It's kind of a pick your poison for the props today. I mentioned Santander and Jimenez's success against Bassitt, but George Springer, Daulton Varsho, and Vladdy all have over .850 OPS against Grayson Rodriguez. You can get Springer and Varsho at -290 and -140 to get a hit tonight, but I'm honing in on Guerrero.
Vladdy is hitting over .360 since the start of July with an OPS over 1.150. He's earned a hit in each of his last 10 games, with five multi-hit contests in that stretch, too.
