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Atlanta Favored To Complete the Sweep vs. Philadelphia

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 14-5 in their last 19 home games against the Philadelphia Phillies including the first two games of this series. The Braves will try to finish up this a series sweep with one more home win over the Phillies this Sunday night.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
  • Date/Time: April 11, 7:08 p.m. ET
  • Arena: Truist Park
  • TV Coverage: Truist Park
  • Opening Odds: Braves -135 | O/U 9 (Line History)
  • Phillies vs Braves Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

The Braves opened at -135 but have been a popular bet among early bettors, pushing the line up to Atlanta -160. The Phillies are going off at +140 to avoid the sweep while the total has remained steady at nine runs. The OVER is 5-0 in Atlanta’s last five home games.

Starting Pitchers Analysis

Matt Moore made just his third start since 2018 last Monday in a 5-3 win over the New York Mets when he pitched 3.1 innings and allowed two runs, four hits, and four walks. The 31-year-old left-hander owns a career 4.51 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP and is looking for a career resurgence as a bottom of the rotation arm in Philadelphia.

Drew Smyly made five starts for the San Francisco Giants in 2020 and compiled a 3.42 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP with 42 strikeouts in 26.1 innings pitched. Smyly picked up where he left off with a strong debut with the Braves last Tuesday when he pitched six innings and allowed two earned runs with eight strikeouts against the Washington Nationals.

Philadelphia News & Notes

Philadelphia surged out of the gate with a 4-0 record that included a three-game sweep at home over the Atlanta Braves before going just 1-3 over its next four games. The Phillies haven’t been able to get much going on offense this season averaging only 3.88 runs per game. The Phillies have scored more than four runs in only one of their games this season; a 5-3 win over the New York Mets.

J.T. Realmuto is off to a strong start with a .346 batting average and a team-leading six RBI. But despite having a loaded lineup that includes big bats like Bryce Harper, Didi Gregorius, Jean Segura, Rhys Hoskins and Andrew McCutchen, no one on the Phillies has hit more than one home run yet this season. This year’s squad figures to go as far as its offense can carry it.

Atlanta News & Notes

The Braves have bounced back from an 0-4 start to the season in which they were outscored 15-8 to win each of their last four games, outscoring thier opponents 22-11 over that stretch. Ronald Acuna Jr. is off to a fantastic start to the young season batting .406 with three home runs, six runs, and six RBI. Freddie Freeman also hit his third home run of the season in Atlanta’s 8-1 win over the Phillies on Friday.

Atlanta won the NL East with a 35-25 record last season and pushed the eventual champion Los Angeles Dodgers to seven games in the NL Championship Series after sweeping the Cincinnati Reds and the Miami Marlins. The Braves are among the top favorites to win the World Series this season going off at 10/1 to do so.

Betting Pick: Atlanta -160

Atlanta has the hotter offense going into this series finale and the better starting pitcher on the mound. This seems like a favorable spot for the Braves to earn their fifth straight win.

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Shark Bites
  • Philadelphia is 0-5 in its last 5 road games.
  • Atlanta is 3-6 in its last 9 games vs. Philadelphia.
  • The OVER is 5-0 in Philadelphia’s last 5 games.