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Phillies Seek Longest Win Streak of the Season vs Cubs

The Philadelphia Phillies have won four straight games and are looking at Zach Eflin for win No. 5 despite being a +130 underdog, with the host Chicago Cubs coming back at -140. Jose Quintana counters for the Cubs, who have dropped his last two outings. Tonight’s total opened at 7.5 runs.

Phillies vs Cubs Game Center

Standout Stats

  • Chicago is 8-5 SU and 6-7 ATS over its last 13 matches. More recently, the Cubs are 2-4 SU and ATS in their last six. They are also 15-7 at home this season.
  • Philadelphia is 9-4 SU and 7-6 ATS through its last 13 contests but is riding a four-game winning streak. The Phillies edged the Cubs 5-4 in the opening game of this series. The Phils are 10-9 on the road this year.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Phillies’ last 15 contests with an average combined score of 8.2. Meanwhile, the total has gone UNDER in eight of the Cubs’ last 12 matches with an average combined score of 7.75.
  • The Phillies are 5-4 over Zach Eflin’s nine trips to the mound this season and he is 5-4 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. He has also tossed five quality starts.
  • He has the lowest BB/9 rate of his career at 1.45 and also has his lowest ERA.
  • Opponents are hitting .242 off Eflin, which is the lowest opponent average of his career. Of the contact against, 16.5 percent is soft-hit, but only 29.4 percent is hard-hit, which ranks 13th among starters who have thrown at least 20 innings. The Cubs rank 24th in hard-hit batted ball percentage vs RHP this month.
  • Eflin hasn’t been as effective on the road, sporting a 3.54 ERA and a .255 opponent batting average.
  • Chicago is 5-3 over Jose Quintana’s eight starts this season and he is 4-3 with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP overall, including his one relief appearance. He also has had four quality starts this year.
  • He has the lowest BB/9 rate since 2016 but has the second-highest HR/9 rate in his career and the highest HR/FB percentage as well.
  • Quintana has an opponent batting average of .249, which is his highest since the 2015 season. Additionally, 39.3 percent of contact has been hard-hit, which is the highest percentage of his career. The Phillies rank 16th in hard-hit percentage against southpaws this month.
  • Quintana has been much better at Wrigley Field than he has been in away games, holding a 2.36 ERA and a .208 opponent batting average.
  • The Cubs are 22-14 against right-handed starters this season, ranking seventh in batting average and sixth in runs scored vs RHP. Additionally, this month they rank ninth in batting average and fifth in runs scored against righties.
  • The Phillies are 4-6 against left-handed starters this year, sitting 10th in batting average and sixth in runs scored against southpaws. More recently, Philadelphia is third in batting average and ninth in runs scored against LHP through May.

My Best Bet for Philadelphia vs Chicago

Phillies Moneyline

Zach Eflin is having a really strong season, is limiting a lot of hard contact and the Cubs rank 24th in hard-hit batted ball percentage vs RHP this month. Meanwhile, Quintana has the highest rate of hard-hit balls of his career, but the Phillies rank just 16th in hard-hit percentage vs southpaws this month. However, Philadelphia ranks third in batting average and ninth in runs scored against LHP this month.

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