The Philadelphia Phillies have won four straight games and are looking at Zach Eflin for win No. 5 despite being a +130 underdog, with the host Chicago Cubs coming back at -140. Jose Quintana counters for the Cubs, who have dropped his last two outings. Tonight’s total opened at 7.5 runs.
Zach Eflin is having a really strong season, is limiting a lot of hard contact and the Cubs rank 24th in hard-hit batted ball percentage vs RHP this month. Meanwhile, Quintana has the highest rate of hard-hit balls of his career, but the Phillies rank just 16th in hard-hit percentage vs southpaws this month. However, Philadelphia ranks third in batting average and ninth in runs scored against LHP this month.
Philadelphia is 9-4 SU and 7-6 ATS in its last 13 games.away Chicago has scored the sixth-most runs against RHP this season (195).home The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia’s last 15 games.away