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Can Nola Continue Stellar Pitching Against Braves?

Aaron Nola of the Philadelphia Phillies pitches against the Cincinnati Reds at Citizens Bank Park

Expectations were high for Aaron Nola entering the season and the Philadelphia Phillies pitcher has not disappointed. The 24-year-old righty has a 1.96 ERA with a 0.98 WHIP through three starts, including a stellar season opener vs the Atlanta Braves. Nola and the Phillies open a three-game set against those same Braves in Atlanta on Monday. 

  • Aaron Nola has a 1.93 ERA in 8 career starts vs the Braves.
  • Ozzie Albies is 15-for-35 with 4 HRs in the Braves’ last 8 games.
  • The Braves are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games after a loss.

The Braves will hand the ball to Julio Teheran, who has been anything but the staff ace this season. Teheran has a 7.07 ERA and a 12-to-10 K/BB ratio through his first three starts. However, the right-hander is coming off his first quality start of the season, an outing that saw him allow just two runs in 6.0 innings of work against the Washington Nationals.

The Phillies enter this series streaking, winning each of their last six outings. Those six games have seen the Phillies average 6.2 runs per game while holding opponents to just 3.0. Slowing down the Braves offense won’t come easy, though, with Atlanta’s squad sitting in the top five in the MLB in runs, batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage.  

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Atlanta was a +118 moneyline underdog earlier in the day at BetOnline, based on the starting pitcher matchup. That pairing made oddsmakers at 5Dimes pick an opening OVER/UNDER number of 8.

OddsShark computer score prediction models pick a possible 3.6-0.1 win for the Phillies on Monday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Atlanta Braves bring an 8-6 record to the battle against the 9-5 Phillies. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Atlanta vs Philadelphia injuries news.

The Braves-Phillies odds would favor the Phillies if the betting lines were set according to our power ranks. Atlanta is rated No. 12 in the current OddsShark poll, while Philadelphia is at No. 6.

Statistical Matchup

When it comes to getting on base, the visiting Philadelphia Phillies rank No. 18 at 7.79 hits per game. That compares with the Atlanta Braves' No. 3 ranking in that category.

Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping betting factors and Atlanta has the No. 11-ranked defense. In the other dugout, the Phillies own the No. 12 mark in runs allowed.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Philadelphia got the job done in their last match in a 10-4 victory over Tampa Bay on Sunday at Tropicana Field.

Betting Trends
  • Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
  • Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
  • Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
  • Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
  • Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Philadelphia at Atlanta, Tuesday, April 17