The Pittsburgh Pirates started this season hot, winning 12 of their first 17 games, and had rivals in the NL Central thinking it might be a four-team race for the division title. But it’s been a downward spiral since for the Pirates, who’ve gone 6-18 SU in 24 games since May 18 and are now eight games back of the division leader. The Bucs will send righty Jameson Taillon to the mound to try to avoid the sweep vs the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight while the D-backs will counter with nominal ace Zack Greinke, who is coming off back-to-back wins for the second time this season.
- The Diamondbacks are 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when closing out a series.
- The total has gone UNDER in six of the Pirates’ last eight games on the road.
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit five home runs in his last 10 games.
Greinke might not be having a dominant season but he’s been excellent at home, posting a 1.64 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP in seven starts at Chase Field. But he’s only posted three victories in those appearances as the Diamondbacks’ batting order has only averaged 3.57 runs per game when the hurler heads to the bump.
That being said, Arizona’s offensive woes may be a thing of the past as the team has produced a whopping 51 runs during its last five games and it’s no coincidence that the D-backs are 5-0 SU and against the runline in those tilts. The Diamondbacks -1.5 runline looks more appealing for bettors when you factor in that Arizona is 5-0 ATS in the last five games in this matchup with an average win margin of 2.4 runs per game.
The Pirates may be fade material tonight with Jameson Taillon making his seventh road start of the season. The former No. 2 overall pick has been awful on the road with a 4.13 ERA and 1.31 WHIP and Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU and ATS in his six away game starts. While Taillon can’t shoulder all of the blame, it shouldn’t be a surprise to bettors that the Pirates are 2-8 SU and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games on the road. The only positive news with Taillon pitching is that he has allowed three runs or less in 10 of his 13 starts, which means a total bet may be the best course of action.
The total opened at 7.5 and an UNDER wager may be profitable. The UNDER has hit in six of Zack Greinke’s last eight games at home with an average combined score of 5.85 runs per game.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
The Arizona Diamondbacks were listed as -142 moneyline favorites earlier in the day at Sportsbook, while oddsmakers set the Sportsbook total line around 8 earlier at Sportsbook.
OddsShark computer prediction formulas pick a 2.1-2.0 win for the Diamondbacks on Wednesday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
The Arizona Diamondbacks bring a 37-29 record to the battle against the 32-35 Pirates. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Arizona vs Pittsburgh injuries news.
This game puts the Diamondbacks, most recently No. 3 in OddsShark MLB Power Rankings, up against the Pirates, who rate a No. 27 in the latest survey.
Statistical Matchup
Rating these teams in several key categories is important for handicappers and Arizona has baseball's No. 30-rated offensive output, at 7.45 hits per game. Pittsburgh averages 8.58 hits per game, good for No. 12 on the list.
Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping betting factors and Arizona has the No. 6-ranked defense. In the other dugout, the Pirates own the No. 21 mark in runs allowed.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Pittsburgh suffered a 13-8 loss against Arizona on Tuesday, as Trevor Williams wasn't able to lead his team to victory at Chase Field.
- Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
- Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
- Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
- Pittsburgh is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
- Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
- Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
- Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Pittsburgh home to Cincinnati, Friday, June 15
Arizona home to New York, Thursday, June 14
