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Is Another OVER in Store at Coors Field for Padres vs Rockies?

San Diego vs Colorado Betting Odds

The Colorado Rockies have won each of Jon Gray’s last four trips to the mound and they are a -130 favorite to pick up their second straight win over the visiting San Diego Padres who are coming back at +120. Joey Lucchesi counters for the Padres and is sporting a 12.38 ERA in road appearances this season and tonight’s game has an opening total of 10.5 runs.

Padres vs Rockies Game Center

Standout Stats

  • San Diego is 5-7 SU and 6-6 ATS in its last 12 games. The Padres are 11-7 in road games this season.
  • Colorado is 8-6 SU and ATS over its last 14 contests and has won back-to-back games. The Rockies are just 8-10 at Coors Field in 2019.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of San Diego’s last 13 games with an average combined score of 9.46. Meanwhile, the total has gone OVER in 12 of Colorado’s last 14 contests with an average combined score of 14.29. The Rockies have also gone OVER in eight straight games.
  • San Diego is 3-4 in Joey Lucchesi’s seven starts this season and he is 3-2 with a 5.00 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. He doesn’t have a quality start this year and has only pitched out of the sixth inning once.
  • His HR/9 rate is down from 1.59 last year to just 1.00 this year, but his BB/9 rate is up from 2.98 in 2018 to 3.00 in 2019.
  • Batters are hitting .270 off of Lucchesi, 20 points higher than last year. However, his soft-hit batted ball percentage is way up and his hard-hit batted ball percentage is way down from last year. He ranks 18th among starters with at least 15 innings pitched in lowest hard-hit batted ball percentage.
  • He has a 12.38 ERA over his two road starts and batters are hitting .410 off of him.
  • Colorado is 4-3 in Jon Gray starts this year, including winning four straight, and he is 3-3 with a 4.22 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP.
  • Gray is averaging 3.80 BB/9 which is by far the highest in his career, while his 9.07 K/9 is the lowest. He also has a HR/FB percentage of 21.9, again a career high. The Padres rank 10th in MLB in HR/FB percentage vs RHP.
  • He has the lowest percentage of soft-hit batted balls and the highest percentage of hard-hit batted balls in his career. San Diego ranks seventh in hard-hit batted ball percentage against righties.
  • Gray has a 3.75 ERA at home vs a 4.40 ERA on the road, but batters are hitting 20 points better against him at Coors vs the road.
  • San Diego is 17-14 against right-handed starters this season, but rank 22nd in batting average and 23rd in runs scored vs RHP. Colorado is 6-8 against left-handed starters in 2019 and rank 11th in batting average and third in runs scored vs southpaws.

My Best Bet for San Diego vs Colorado

Colorado Moneyline

Lucchesi has been getting absolutely hammered in road games this season, sporting a 12.38 ERA and an opponent batting average of .410. This isn’t a good outlook going against a squad that has scored the third-most runs vs LHP this year and have the 11th-best batting average. Meanwhile, the Padres rank 22nd in BA and 23rd in runs scored vs righties.

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