On Sportsbook Day 2021, the San Francisco Giants were +8000 to win the World Series. Their odds, implying a 1.23 percent chance at a title, were the ninth-worst in baseball, in line with the Miami Marlins and just ahead of the Baltimore Orioles.
So what did the ’21 Giants do? They led the majors with 107 wins, snatched the NL West away from the favored Dodgers and smashed all expectations during a historically good year.
After losing Buster Posey to retirement and Kevin Gausman to free agency, surely the overperforming Giants have regressed in 2022? Their 18-12 record and 97-win pace beg to differ.
This Giants team is built differently, and when a team like San Francisco continually surpasses expectations, they present a great opportunity for betting profits. Why are these Giants so good, and how can we profit off them? Find out below.
SF Giants Betting Trends And Profits
|Time Frame||SU Record||SU Profits (100$ Unit)||Runline Record|
|2021 + 2022||127-70||+$3,641.52||114-83|
Data courtesy of Odds Shark’s database, as of May 11, 2022
The Giants have been one of the most profitable betting teams in baseball’s recent memory. A few World Series runs in the last 15 years certainly helps, but much of the profit comes from the 2021 Giants smashing through expectations.
If you had bet $100 on every Giants game last year, you would’ve made $3,498.14 in profit. But, thankfully, you haven’t fully missed the boat as the 2022 Giants have provided hefty profits so far, too.
If you want to hop aboard the Giants betting train, lock in some MLB bets over at Sportsbook:
New to betting on baseball? Check out our baseball betting tutorial to help you get in on the action. Also, keep an eye on our MLB odds page for the latest up-to-date betting lines.
How The Giants Defy Expectations
Much like the American League’s Tampa Bay Rays, the Giants are finding advantages in the little things.
The Giants live and die by the platoons right now. Though it means they don’t have many big-name bats in the lineup and can easily be overlooked, it doesn’t mean they can’t score runs.
LaMonte Wade Jr. has a career .339 OPS against southpaws, basically an unusable big-league player. But when he steps in the box against a righty, as San Francisco’s leadoff hitter vs right-handed pitching, he mashes. Wade has a career .835 OPS against righties, with all 21 of his career homers coming against the platoon. When you see a righty facing San Francisco, it’s a great time to lock in a Wade prop bet at Sportsbook.
The Giants also have regular platoon bats in Joc Pederson, Darin Ruf, Mauricio Dubon, Austin Slater, Tommy La Stella and Steven Duggar. Though none are going to give you 600 elite at-bats, when worked into lineups properly, they win San Francisco plenty of games.
Even after losing a Cy Young candidate in Gausman, the Giants rotation hasn’t missed a step. With young Logan Webb leading the charge, the Giants have filled out their rotation with plenty of castoffs and under-the-radar pickups.
With his price driven down due to durability concerns, free-agent acquisition Carlos Rodon has filled the void left by Gausman, leading the National League in wins, strikeouts and FIP. Behind him, the Giants brought in Alex Cobb, taught him how to throw a few miles per hour faster, and stabilized the back of the rotation.
The Giants can keep losing stars to retirement and free agency, but with proper platoons, management, and pitching development, it won’t matter. Even when you think you shouldn’t, bet on San Fran.