After rallying from a five-run deficit in the series opener to the Seattle Mariners on Friday, the Boston Red Sox have scored 23 times in their last two games while posting 32 runs in their past three victories. The BoSox look to keep the offensive surge going Saturday vs the suddenly slumping Seattle Mariners. Sportsbooks opened the M’s as +155 road underdogs with a total of 9.
- The OVER is 4-1 SU in the Red Sox's last five games.
- The OVER is 5-1 in Leake's last six road starts.
- The Mariners are 1-5 SU in their last six meetings with the Red Sox in Boston.
Who has the edge in the pitching matchup?
Mike Leake and Eduardo Rodriguez are expected to get the start for the Mariners and Red Sox, respectively. Leake (7-4, 4.47 ERA) saw his seven-game unbeaten streak come to an end in his last start when he allowed five runs on eight hits across six innings against the Red Sox. The 30-year-old had yielded two or fewer runs in his previous five outings. Leake is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in five career matchups against Boston.
Rodriguez (9-1, 3.59) was permitted a total of nine runs during his six-game winning streak with his pitch count rising to 100 in each while reaching six innings just twice. The hurler held Seattle to two runs on six hits and one walk with nine strikeouts over six innings last Sunday. Rodriguez is 2-1 with a 2.66 ERA in four career contests vs the Mariners.
Trends pointing to an OVER in this one
The OVER has been the hot bet when the Red Sox have taken the diamond lately, as Boston has gone OVER the total in four of its past five games. The OVER is also trending when Leake gets the ball on the road, with five of Leake’s past six starts away from home going above the closing total.
