The Seattle Mariners have been the most surprising team in the American League this season and can increase their lead in the AL West when they face the Houston Astros tonight. The Mariners have been one of the best road teams in the majors at 17-10 SU in 27 games but have not fared well vs their divisional rival lately as the M’s are 1-9 SU and ATS in their last 10 games against Houston. Seattle opened as a +130 dog to continue its winning ways.
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of the Mariners’ last 14 games.
- The Mariners are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games with James Paxton as the starting pitcher.
- Houston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home.
The Mariners are on a nice run lately, winning 13 of their last 16 games, and hand the ball to lefty James Paxton to shut down the Astros. Paxton has been solid on the road with a 3.10 ERA and owns a 2-1 win vs Houston from mid-April when he held the Astros to one earned run. Those close games have been the calling card for Seattle’s success this season as the team is 18-9 SU in 27 games decided by one run and 6-0 SU in six games that have gone to extra innings.
Houston will send out Dallas Keuchel to combat the surging Mariners and historically he’s been the man for the job as Keuchel owns a 2.67 ERA in 15 starts vs Seattle and beat the Mariners three times last season. But this season, he’s been a frustrating pitcher to back as he’s got a 4.06 ERA at Minute Maid Park and the Astros have dropped three of his last four starts at home. If bettors are willing to overlook his recent struggles, they should know Houston is 37-15 SU in Keuchel’s last 52 starts.
The total opened at 7.5 and trends are pointing to an UNDER. The UNDER has hit in nine of the last 12 games in this matchup with an average combined score of 7.4 runs per game.
Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick
Houston was a -130 moneyline favorite earlier in the day at Sportsbook, based on the starting pitcher matchup. That pairing made oddsmakers at Sportsbook pick an Sportsbook OVER/UNDER number of 7.5.
OddsShark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 4.8-0.4 victory for the Mariners. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.
Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Matchup
Team Betting Records & Power Rankings
Houston (37-24) will face the 37-22 Mariners in this tilt. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Houston vs Seattle injuries news.
This game puts the Astros, most recently No. 1 in OddsShark MLB Power Rankings, up against the Mariners, who rate a No. 9 in the latest survey.
Statistical Matchup
Scoring stats point to some edges in this matchup. The game features the Houston Astros' No. 6-ranked scoring average of 4.93 runs per game, against a Seattle Mariners offense rated No. 14 and scoring 4.32 runs per game. The Astros have averaged 8.69 hits per game to date this season, less than the Mariners hitters have managed (8.76 per nine innings).
Houston owns the No. 1 defense, allowing 2.82 men per game to cross the plate. That contrasts with Seattle's No. 11-rated defense.
Recent Outings Betting Recap
Seattle overcame a dynamite 12-strikeout performance by Blake Snell last time out, emerging with a 2-1 win against Tampa Bay on Sunday at Safeco Field.
Houston looks to rebound from a loss to the Red Sox, who beat them 9-3 on Sunday behind a start from Rick Porcello at Minute Maid Park.
- Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
- Seattle is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Seattle's last 14 games
- Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
- Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
- Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games
- Houston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Next Betting Matchups
Seattle at Houston, Wednesday, June 6
