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Betting Preview: St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves

The Atlanta Braves are 15-5 in their last 20 games at home. The Braves earned home-field advantage in this best-of-five NLDS by winning six more games than the St. Louis Cardinals during the regular season, and they’ll try to make the most of it on Wednesday.

Matchup Information
  • St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves (Matchup Report)
  • Date/Time: October 9, 5:02 p.m. ET
  • TV Coverage: TBS
  • Opening Odds: St. Louis -105 / Atlanta -105 | O/U 8 (Line History)
  • Starting Pitchers: ATL Foltynewicz (9-6, 4.28 ERA), STL Flaherty (11-9, 2.79 ERA)

Opening Odds Analysis

Since the game opened as a pick’em, bettors have shown their preference toward St. Louis, turning the Cardinals into a -115 favorite over the Braves at +105. The total has remained unchanged at 8 runs.

St. Louis News & Notes

The Cardinals scratched out a 5-4 win in the 10th inning of Game 4 to force a Game 5 in Atlanta thanks to a full team effort on both offense and defense. Their 37-year-old catcher, Yadier Molina, played the hero role on Monday night, tying the game at 4-4 with an RBI single in the eighth inning and winning it with a sacrifice fly in the 10th. Carlos Martinez also pitched a scoreless inning in the win after giving up three earned runs in each of his previous two appearances in this series.

St. Louis now turns to staff ace Jack Flaherty in this winner-take-all contest. Flaherty pitched seven innings of three-run ball in Game 2, but was outdueled by Mike Foltynewicz in a 3-0 loss. The Cardinals are 7-3 in their last 10 games on the road.

Atlanta News & Notes

When Mike Foltynewicz was 1-4 with a 5.89 ERA back on June 6, it would have been hard to imagine that he would be Atlanta’s starter in a must-win Game 5 four months later. But here we are; after going 1-7 in Foltynewicz’s first eight starts, the Braves have gone 13-1 over his last 14, including his win in Game 2, when he allowed only three hits and had seven strikeouts over seven scoreless innings.

In their last five instances as a home underdog, the Braves are 4-1 on the moneyline. Atlanta has scored at least three runs in every game this series, and doing so again would give the team a great chance to win if Foltynewicz keeps up his late-season surge.

Betting Pick: UNDER 8

The last matchup between these two starting pitchers produced a 3-0 final in Game 2. Look for another low-scoring affair here, especially with all hands on deck in relief in both bullpens.

Shark Bites
  • Atlanta is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at SunTrust Park.
  • St. Louis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games against Atlanta.
  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of St. Louis’s last 14 games in Atlanta.