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Brewers Bettors Beware: Nelson has Never Beaten the Cardinals

The Milwaukee Brewers, losers of 11 of their last 14, have been in a huge funk lately and are steadily sinking back to the .500 mark as the calendar turns to August. With a contest against the division rival St. Louis Cardinals set for Tuesday, sportsbooks opened the Brew Crew as slight -115 home favorites with a total of eight.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Cardinals' last seven games as underdogs against the Brewers.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Cardinals' last six games with Carlos Martinez as the starting pitcher.
  • The Cardinals are 5-2 SU in their last seven games.

Carlos Martinez and Jimmy Nelson will get the start for the Cards and Brewers, respectively. Martinez (7-8, 3.52 ERA) owns a 5-2 record with a 1.75 ERA in 21 career appearances vs Milwaukee and is 1-1 vs the Brewers this season. The hurler permitted five runs in as many innings in a 7-5 loss on April 20 and allowed one run on four hits in just over seven innings of a 2-1 victory two weeks later.

Nelson (8-5, 3.38) has been downright dreadful in his career against the Cardinals, going 0-8 with a bloated 7.01 ERA in 11 career games against St. Louis. The 28-year-old is a measly 0-1 SU in his last three trips to the mound.

Milwaukee has been doing a great job of starting series off on the right foot lately. In the Brewers' last nine series-opening tilts, they're 7-2 SU.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those betting on the visitors in this one found the St. Louis Cardinals listed as favorites of -114 at most sportsbooks, including Bovada. Total bettors saw the number open in the area of 8.5, check for odds updates at MyBookie.

Odds Shark computer prediction formulas pick a 4.8-2.8 win for the Cardinals on Tuesday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Milwaukee (55-52) will face the 52-53 Cardinals in this tilt. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Milwaukee vs St. Louis injuries news.

The Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals odds would favor the Cardinals if the betting lines were set according to our power ranks. Milwaukee is rated No. 20 in the current Odds Shark poll, while St. Louis is at No. 3.

Statistical Matchup

At the plate, Milwaukee owns the No. 20 ranking for hits at 8.55 per game. By contrast, the St. Louis Cardinals are rated No. 19 in the same category at 8.63 per game.

Pitching and defensive stats are important baseball handicapping betting factors and Milwaukee has the No. 13-ranked defense. In the other dugout, the Cardinals own the No. 6 mark in runs allowed.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Cardinals struck out early and often against T Walker in their last game, but still managed to come out ahead on the scoreboard, striking out 10 times in a 3-2 win over Arizona on Sunday at New Busch Stadium.

Milwaukee didn't get the job done in their last match, falling 4-2 to Chicago on Sunday at Miller Park.

Betting Trends
  • St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
  • St. Louis is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • Milwaukee is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
  • Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 15 games
  • Milwaukee is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

St. Louis at Milwaukee, Wednesday, August 2nd