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Red-Hot Cardinals Going Off as Underdog in Milwaukee

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 10-2 over their last 12 games and have won four in a row after sweeping the Colorado Rockies and taking the first game of a three-game set against the Milwaukee Brewers on Tuesday night. The series continues Wednesday night as the Cardinals seek a fifth straight win in Milwaukee.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers
  • Date/Time: May 12, 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: American Family Field
  • TV Coverage: BSS, BSW
  • Opening Odds: Brewers -161 | O/U 7 (Line History)
  • Cardinals vs Brewers Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

The Brewers opened as a -161 favorite and have settled in at -165 while the Cardinals are going off at +155 on the road. The total has moved up slightly to 7.5 runs since opening at 7 runs. St. Louis is 4-1 in its last five road games.

Starting Pitchers Analysis

John Gant has had control issues this season with 18 walks in 25 innings pitched. He owns an ugly 1.70 WHIP and has pitched more than five innings in only one of his six starts. But despite these issues, Gant has managed to avoid any major trouble with only one home run allowed this year and a rock-solid 2.15 ERA.

Brandon Woodruff enjoyed a breakout season in 2020 with a 3.05 ERA, 1.73 WHIP and 91 strikeouts in 73.2 innings. He’s been even better so far in 2021 with a dazzling 1.73 ERA and a 0.77 WHIP to go along with 51 strikeouts in 41.2 innings. Woodruff has historically pitched well against the Cardinals with a 3-1 record, a 2.57 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP in 28 career innings vs the Redbirds.

St. Louis News & Notes

The Cardinals offense was held to just two hits and one run through the first 10 innings of Tuesday night’s series opener against the Brewers. But the offense came alive in the top of the 11th as Paul Goldschmidt hit a two-run home run, Nolan Arenado doubled and Tyler O’Neill put the Cardinals up 6-1 with a three-run shot. Alex Reyes closed the door on the Brewers in the bottom of the 11th to give St. Louis its fourth straight win.

St. Louis is now 14-4 since opening the season with a disappointing 8-10 record. Over the team’s current 10-2 run, the Cardinals have averaged 5.08 runs per game while allowing only 3.08 runs. The Cardinals enter Wednesday with a three-game lead in the National League Central standings over Milwaukee.

Milwaukee News & Notes

Milwaukee had a number of chances to put the game away on Tuesday night with 12 runners left on base but in the end landed on the wrong side of a 6-1 loss to fall to 2-7 over the last nine games. The offense has averaged a paltry 2.89 runs per game over that span.

Even before the recent skid, offensive output had been an issue. The Brewers rank ninth in the majors in pitching with a team ERA of 3.58, but at the plate Milwaukee ranks 26th in run production at 3.75 runs per game. This issue carries over from last year when the Brewers finished 26th in the majors in runs scored.

Betting Pick: UNDER 7.5 Runs

There is value on the Cardinals as big underdogs in this spot. Regardless of which team wins, though, these two pitchers and bullpens seem very likely to produce another low-scoring game.

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Shark Bites
  • St. Louis is 4-2 in its last 6 road games vs Milwaukee.
  • Milwaukee is 8-9 in 17 home games this season.
  • The OVER is 6-2-1 in Milwaukee’s last 9 home games.