The Cleveland Guardians (87-68) welcome the Tampa Bay Rays (85-70) to Progressive Field on Thursday for the final meeting of their three-game set. The Guardians are 11-2 in their last 13 outings while the Rays are 3-6 in their last nine contests. Find out if Cleveland can pick up another victory in our Rays vs Guardians prediction.

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Rays vs Guardians Betting Preview

Rays vs Guardians Opening Odds

The Rays opened as a very slight favorite at -120 on the moneyline with the Guardians getting -110 at home. The total was set at 7.5 runs with the OVER going 6-3 in Cleveland’s last nine contests. Tampa Bay has won nine of the last 12 meetings at Progressive Field – a big reason why the visitors get the edge in our Rays vs Guardians prediction.

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Starting Pitchers 

Cal Quantrill (14-5) had a strong start for the Guardians last time out, holding the Texas Rangers to five hits and one earned run over six innings on September 24. The right-hander owns a 3.49 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 175.1 innings.

Jeffrey Springs (9-4) was fortunate to get away with a no-decision against the Toronto Blue Jays on September 23 after surrendering six hits and four runs (three earned) over five innings of work. Springs has a 2.56 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP in 126.1 innings this year.

Rays Lose In Extra Innings

The Rays fell 2-1 in extra innings to the Guardians on Wednesday with the clubs combining for just 11 hits in the ball game. Christian Bethancourt drove in the lone run of the contest for Tampa Bay with an RBI single in the second, while Ji-man Choi was the only batter to get multiple hits.

Randy Arozarena was 0-for-4 in the game but has been on fire of late with nine RBIs and 15 total bases in his last six games while batting .320. The outfielder did the bulk of his damage against the Blue Jays on September 23 in a six-RBI performance.

Rosario Walks It Off For Guardians

Cleveland evened up the series on Wednesday and got back into the win column after having its seven-game win streak snapped the previous day. Gabriel Arias hit his first career home run to tie the game in the third while Amed Rosario hit the walk-off single in the 10th to give the Guardians the victory.

Steven Kwan has been Cleveland’s top hitter over the last week and a half with 11 RBIs and two homers in his last nine games, highlighted by a five-RBI showing against the Texas Rangers on September 25.

Rays Player Prop: Arozarena OVER 3 Total Bases From Hits (+150)

Arozarena has been Tampa Bay’s top hitter this year and that trend has continued through the final month of the season. The outfielder has 257 total bases this year, which is 62 more than his next-closest teammate. You can get him at +150 to hit for at least three total bases on Thursday.

Guardians Player Prop: Gonzalez OVER 4 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+167)

Oscar Gonzalez has been hot in September with a team-high six homers, 19 RBIs and 56 total bases in 27 games. +167 for four hits, runs and RBIs is a decent wager for the Guardians right-fielder.

Rays: Keys To Win

Tampa Bay’s offense has been dormant of late as the club is scoring less than a run per game over its last six losses, while being shut out twice in those games. Obviously the Rays will have to find a way to drive in at least a few more runs if they’re going to take the series.

Guardians: Keys To Win

Unlike the Rays, the Guardians have enjoyed plenty of success thanks to their offense. Cleveland is averaging 5.85 runs per game through its last 13 contests with 11 wins over that span. Five batters have at least 12 RBIs in September and if that team-wide effort continues, the Guardians should take another victory.

MLB Computer Pick: Guardians +1.5

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Shark Bites
  • Cleveland is 8-3 in its last 11 home games.
  • Tampa Bay is 13-4 in the last 17 meetings.
  • Tampa Bay is 5-2 in its last 7 vs AL Central clubs.
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