The Tampa Bay Rays are just 4-10 over their last 14 games but they have -110 pick’em odds with the host Minnesota Twins in tonight’s game. A pitchers’ duel in the making has Charlie Morton facing off against Jake Odorizzi on the hill with the total Sportsbook at 9 runs.
Standout Stats
- Minnesota is 7-5 SU and 5-7 ATS over its last 12 contests. The Twins are 25-13 at Target Field this season.
- Tampa Bay is 4-10 SU and ATS through its last 14 games. The Rays have a strong 25-16 road record this year.
- The total has gone UNDER in six of the Twins’ last 11 matches with an average combined score of 8.64. Conversely, the total has gone OVER in six of the Rays’ last 11 with an average combined score of 9.36. The total has gone OVER in three of the five meetings between these clubs.
- The Rays are 10-6 over Charlie Morton’s 16 trips to the mound this season and he is 8-1 with a 2.31 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP. He has nine quality starts as well.
- He is averaging the highest K/9 rate of his career and the lowest HR/9 rate since the 2016 season.
- He has a career-low .188 opponent batting average. However, he has the highest hard-hit percentage in his career at 35.1 and he has a 17.1 soft-hit percentage as well. The Twins lead the majors in hard-hit percentage vs RHP this month.
- Morton has a 1.57 ERA with a .178 opponent batting average over his nine road appearances this season. He has higher BB/9 and HR/9 rates and a lower K/9 rate as well. Additionally, he has a higher soft-hit percentage and a lower hard-hit percentage compared to his home starts.
- He hurled seven innings of two-run ball while allowing two hits in a 14-3 win over Minnesota on May 30 at Tropicana Field.
- The Twins are 11-4 behind Jake Odorizzi this year and he is 10-3 with a 2.58 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP. He has six quality starts as well.
- He has the highest K/9 rate in his career while having the lowest HR/9 rate as well.
- He has a career-low .208 opponent batting average. Of the contact against, 42.2 percent has been hard-hit and 17.5 percent has been soft-hit. The Rays rank 16th in hard-hit percentage vs righties this month.
- Odorizzi has a 1.91 ERA and a .190 opponent batting average through his seven home outings this season. He has higher K/9 and HR/9 rates with a much lower BB/9 rate as well. He also has lower soft-hit and hard-hit batted ball percentages compared to his road appearances.
- He tossed six scoreless innings, giving up three hits, in a 9-7 road win over Tampa Bay on June 2.
- Tampa Bay’s bullpen sits 11th in the majors with a 4.11 ERA this month and Minnesota’s bullpen is slightly behind in 15th with a 4.34 ERA.
- The Twins are 39-20 against right-handed starters this season and are ninth in batting average and fifth in runs scored vs RHP. This month, Minnesota sits 14th in batting average and 20th in runs scored vs righties.
- The Rays are 29-22 against right-handed starters in 2019, ranking 11th in batting average and 21st in runs scored against righties. In June, Tampa Bay is 24th in batting average and 18th in runs scored vs RHP.
My Best Bet for Tampa Bay vs Minnesota
UNDER 9
Odorizzi is having his worst month of the season but still is 3-1 with a 3.68 ERA and the Rays have been struggling against RHP in June, ranking 24th in batting average and 18th in runs scored. Additionally, he has been much better at home than on the road with a stingy 1.91 ERA and a .190 opponent batting average.
Similarly, Morton has been a stud in road games with a 1.57 ERA and a .178 opponent batting average and the Twins sit 20th in runs scored vs righties this month.
Minnesota leads MLB in hard-hit percentage vs RHP this month.home Tampa Bay is 4-10 SU and ATS in its last 14 games.away Charlie Morton (TB) has a career-low 1.02 WHIP this season.away
