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Things Have Gone Off the Rails For Estrada, Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays are not flying so high anymore. They’ve lost seven of their last 10 games and have scored just 3.7 runs per game and given up 5.4 in the month of September. They will, however, get a chance to win their series with the Rays this afternoon as they send Marco Estrada to the mound to face Alex Cobb.

  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of the Rays' last 11 games against the Blue Jays.
  • The Blue Jays are 7-3 in their last 10 games during the afternoon.
  • The Rays are 1-6 in their last 7 games on the road with Alex Cobb as the starting pitcher.

After pitching his way into the all-star game and the AL Cy Young conversation with a 2.93 ERA in the first half, Estrada has had the tides turn on him. He is now 8-8 with a 3.68 ERA as he is 3-5 with a 5.32 ERA in nine games started since the break. The Mexican international has been blown up in two consecutive starts and has an ERA over six against the Rays this year – maybe this is a case of the night being darkest just before the dawn.

Cobb has made just two starts since returning from Tommy John surgery and looks pretty good. His first start of the season happened to come against the Jays over the Labor Day weekend when he limited the Blue Birds to two runs over five innings in an 8-3 Rays’ win.

There is significant juice being offered on the Rays’ runline at most books and with the way the Jays are playing right now and with how they’ve played the Rays this season, it’s definitely worth a closer look.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as Bovada had installed the Toronto Blue Jays as -188 moneyline favorites in this particular MLB betting odds matchup. The total, meanwhile, was set early at 9 before betting at 5Dimes started to move the line.

Odds Shark computer prediction handicapping models run on this game pick a 4.5-3.3 victory for the Rays. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming MLB matchups here.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

79-65 Toronto battles the Rays, currently with a 61-83 mark. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Toronto vs Tampa Bay injuries news.

It's a MLB baseball betting matchup between the No. 19-rated Toronto Blue Jays and the league No. 26-ranked Tampa Bay Rays, according to the latest MLB power poll here at Odds Shark.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up Toronto Blue Jays No. 7 ranked offense (4.82 runs per game) against a Tampa Bay Rays defense and pitching staff that sits at No. 15 at 4.43 runs allowed per game. The Toronto Blue Jays have been averaging 8.47 hits per game, more than the Tampa Bay Rays have managed so far this season (8.24 hits on average).

Toronto owns the No. 8 defense, allowing 4.82 men per game to cross the plate. That contrasts with Tampa Bay's No. 15-rated defense.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Tampa Bay got the job done in their last match in a 6-2 victory over Toronto on Tuesday at Rogers Centre behind starter D Smyly.

Betting Trends
  • Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Tampa Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 18 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
  • Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games
  • Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Tampa Bay at Baltimore, Thursday, September 15th
Toronto at Los Angeles, Thursday, September 15th