The Seattle Mariners (84-70) are 10-3 in their last 13 games against the Texas Rangers (66-88) after the teams split the first two games of this three-game series. The Mariners will try to win the final game of the series as a Rangers vs Mariners prediction favorite on Thursday night in Seattle.

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Rangers vs Mariners Opening Odds

The Mariners opened as -125 favorites on Thursday night, and the Rangers vs Mariners odds have remained fairly steady with Seattle settling in at -120. The total has moved up slightly to 7 runs since opening at 6.5 runs. The UNDER is 4-1 in Seattle’s last five home games against Texas.

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Starting Pitchers

Jon Gray has pitched 13 innings across three starts since returning from the injured list on September 12, compiling a 2.08 ERA and a 0.62 WHIP over that stretch. Gray has been limited to 116.1 innings this year due to injuries and has recorded a 3.64 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP with 126 strikeouts.

Marco Gonzales has posted a 4.84 ERA in 12 starts since the MLB all-star break after entering the break with a 3.50 ERA across 18 starts. In total, Gonzales is 10-15 with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP in 2022.

Texas Has Been Struggling Since Late August

The Rangers put together a solid run of games with a 9-4 run through the second half of the month. That run was followed by a nine-game losing streak, which has led to an 8-21 slump over the club’s last 29 games. 

Nathaniel Lowe went 2-for-4 in Texas’ 3-1 loss to the Mariners on Wednesday night. Lowe is enjoying a breakout season with the Rangers in 2022 as he ranks seventh in the majors with a .305 batting average and has collected 25 home runs, 70 runs and 73 RBIs.

Seattle’s Offense Has Been Boom Or Bust During Current Slump

The Mariners scored three runs in their win over the Rangers on Wednesday. Prior to that win, Seattle had gone 4-9 over its previous 13 games, scoring one run or none in seven of those games and six runs or more in the other six.

The absence of rookie sensation Julio Rodriguez hasn’t helped with consistency on offense. Rodriguez is batting .280 this season with 27 home runs, 81 runs and 73 RBIs in 129 games. He is currently on the injured list with a back injury but is expected to return when first eligible on October 3.

Rangers Player Prop: Jon Gray OVER 5.5 Strikeouts (+114)

Jon Gray only struck out one batter in his last start against Cleveland, but that’s out of the norm. Gray struck out seven or more batters in five of his six starts prior to getting injured and fanned nine batters in eight innings through his first two starts off the injured list. In five or six innings of work on Thursday, Gray should get to six strikeouts.

Mariners Player Prop: Ty France At Least 2 Hits (+175)

Ty France has been red-hot over his last four games, going 9-for-17 for a .529 batting average. That stretch includes three multi-hit games, and France has four multi-hit games in Seattle’s last six games. France is worth a shot to continue this trend at this price.

Rangers: Keys To Victory

Jon Gray has been pitching well this season. If Gray is in form on Thursday night, he could keep Seattle’s inconsistent offense in check and help Texas pull off an upset as a Rangers vs Mariners prediction on the road with some support from his offense and the bullpen.

Mariners: Keys To Victory

Marco Gonzales has allowed three earned runs or more in seven of his last 10 starts. If this trend continues, the Mariners will need to have a good day at the plate to generate enough offense to win as a Rangers vs Mariners pick at home.

MLB Computer Pick: Mariners ML -120

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Shark Bites
  • Texas is 40-54 as an underdog this season.
  • Seattle is 4-8 in its last 12 games.
  • The UNDER is 10-2 in Texas’ last 12 road games.
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