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Visiting Blue Jays Look to Cool Off Red Sox on Monday Night

Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox are favored in MLB betting odds vs the Toronto Blue Jays on Monday night.

The Boston Red Sox are 5-1 over their last six games with back-to-back series wins over the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees. The Red Sox will look to keep things rolling in a four-game series against the Blue Jays that starts in Boston on Monday night.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox
  • Date/Time: July 26, 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Fenway Park
  • TV Coverage: ESPN
  • Opening Odds: Red Sox -122 | O/U 10.5 (Line History)
  • Blue Jays vs Red Sox Matchup Report

Opening Odds Analysis

The Red Sox opened as -122 favorites before receiving enough betting action to bump the line up to Boston -140. Toronto is going off as a +130 road underdog and the total is up to 11 runs in this series opener since opening at 10.5 runs. The UNDER is 10-5 in Toronto’s last 15 road games against Boston.

Starting Pitchers Analysis

Thomas Hatch has been called up from the minor leagues to make a spot start in place of the injured Alex Manoah. Hatch has pitched 29.1 innings in Triple-A this season with a 2.15 ERA, a 1.06 WHIP and 29 strikeouts. In his rookie year last season, he made 17 appearances with the Blue Jays and compiled a 2.73 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in 26.1 innings.

Nick Pivetta allowed 11 hits and four earned runs last Monday against the Blue Jays in a 13-4 Red Sox victory. Pivetta has not pitched well against Toronto this season with a 7.56 ERA and a 1.80 WHIP in three starts. On the season, he is 8-4 with a 4.37 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP.

Toronto News & Notes

The Blue Jays put up a three-run frame in the top of the sixth inning on Sunday to take a 3-1 lead on the road over the New York Mets before promptly giving that lead away in a four-run bottom of the sixth. Toronto went on to lose the game 5-4, falling to 49-46 on the season and to 1-4 over its last five games in the process.

While Toronto’s offense has been elite all season, ranking second in the majors in team batting average (.264) and third in run production (5.17 runs per game), the pitching staff and bullpen have had their share of troubles due to injuries and inconsistency. The Blue Jays have allowed 6.2 runs per game over their current 1-4 skid after allowing only three total runs across a 4-0 run that came right before this slump.

Boston News & Notes

The Red Sox pulled off yet another dramatic come-from-behind victory in Sunday’s 5-4 win over the Yankees. New York appeared to be well on its way to an easy win with a 4-0 lead and Domingo German carrying a no-hit bid into the bottom of the eighth inning. But with five straight hits to open up the frame, the Red Sox eventually scored five runs to steal the win and deal a crushing defeat to their hated rivals.

Boston is averaging 6.5 runs per game over its current 5-1 run, including blowout wins of 13-4 and 7-4 over the Blue Jays. Rafael Devers hit home runs in both of those games against Toronto and has four homers and seven RBIs in his last six games. The Red Sox are tied with the Houston Astros for the American League’s best record at 61-39 through 100 games.

Betting Pick: OVER 11 runs

There is some value on the Blue Jays here considering how well they have hit Nick Pivetta this season. But the Red Sox offense has bailed Pivetta out of two of those starts, and against a young pitcher and shaky Blue Jays bullpen, there will likely be plenty of offensive fireworks in this one.

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Shark Bites
  • Toronto is 0-3 in its last 3 games vs Boston.
  • Boston is 31-20 in 51 home games this season.
  • The OVER is 4-2 in Toronto’s last 6 games.